Chicago Crime Policy and Murder Rates
Chicago Homicide Rates
Chicago garnered the distinction of being the murder capital of America in 2012, with 506 of its citizens meeting a violent end (Connor, 2013). The murder rate for January 2013 seemed to predict another record year, but March figures brought a moment of respite for the beleaguered city. From a historical perspective however, the 2012 murder rate in Chicago was not too far from the 25-year low reached in 2004 (UCR, 2010).
Simply quoting a murder rate can therefore be misleading. To determine whether the 2012 Chicago murder 'spree' represents an out-of-control situation demanding strong interventions that would likely threaten civil liberties or a minor year-to-year variation, the historical murder statistics for Chicago and other cities will be analyzed in detail. First, the historical data from several similarly sized U.S. cities will be compared using the data provided by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) through their Uniform Crime Reporting Statistics (UCR, 2010), thereby determining whether Chicago represents an anomaly or is simply being influenced by national social and economic trends. The same approach will be used to compare the statistics contained in the annual murder reports published by the Chicago Police Department through their Chicago Alternative Policing Strategy (CAPS) division.
The Chicago homicide statistics available from the DOJ (UCR, 2010) and the Chicago Police Department (2012) differ to some extent. The DOJ statistics are yearly totals and per capita rates for the period 1985 to 2010, while the CAPS reports provide significantly more details about who, why, how, and where for the period 1991 to 2011. The smallest data set is only 17 entries, but as additional cities and statistics are included the size could reach into the hundreds. The DOJ statistics will be useful for making murder rate comparisons between similar U.S. urban municipalities over a longer period of time; however, the CAPS reports will provide the information essential for making informed crime policy decisions with respect to community and problem-oriented policing strategies. For example, the rate of murder occurring indoors decreased gradually between 1991 and 2008, but the opposite trend occurred for outdoor murders. Solving murders that took place outdoors may be more difficult than indoor murders, which would why the clearance rate by police detectives has also been declining in Chicago.
You’re 89% through this paper. Sign up to read the full paper.
Sign Up Now — Instant Access Already a member? Log inAlways verify citation format against your institution’s current style guide requirements.