Somalia Matrix Endstate: Describe the Desired U.S.

Somalia Matrix

Endstate: Describe the desired U.S. endstate for Somalia.

Ends -- You must identify the 3 Ends specified in the strategy report.

Ways -- You must describe a minimum of 2 Ways for each End.

Means -- You must describe/explain 3 to 5 Means for each End.

Risks - You must describe/explain 3 to 5 Risks for each End.

End #1

Building a central government

Elect a government that can support some stability.

Create a constitution and a legal system to

Use the assistance and knowledge of the international community and the UN for consultation.

Leverage the war weary population to participate in a new government and work to build a democracy.

Use humanitarian assistance as much as possible to provide for the needs of the disadvantage so that they are able to be more active in their communities.

Etc.

The leadership will not be able to gain traction and promote stability even with the assistance of the international community.

The diverse cultural groups and religious extremists will not be able to focus on the national best interest and let their personal differences continue to drive conflicts.

3. The African Stabilization Forces will not be able to provide enough security against the extremist factions to allow for the creation of a central government.

Etc.

End #2

Eliminate the terrorist threat

1. The use of force and the creation of security can be provided by the African Union, the United Nations, and the U.S. By supporting the creation of a capable military and security force.

2. Eliminate the platform of Al-Qaida which can be target directly with U.S. And international military support through intelligence sharing, military aid, and using their forces and remote capabilities directly.

1. The African Union of Forces must be able to form a capable and motivated unit that can combat the rogue forces. One factor will be supplying the manpower which will take members of the population to want to support the cause politically or for their own personal ambitions.

2. Another factor will be to supply this force with the necessary military equipment that can allow them to counter Al-Qaeda's presence.

3. The creation of the African forces will require much coordination among many nations that can provide assistance in terms of personnel as well as intelligence.

Etc.

1. The African forces might have difficulty recruiting and funding a military force sufficient enough to counter the extremist groups. This will take a significant amount of funding that might not be present in these areas.

2. In the past these forces have been unstable an there has been a number of regional forces that have resorted to warlordism and regional clans that decrease security and stability.

3. The local security organizations have been ineffective in the past and have been unable to protect the local population from various clans and local violence.

Etc.

End #3 Building capacities in the institutions.

1. Use external assistance to begin to rebuild the broken institutions such as law enforcement, judicial, health, education, and other services

2. Coordinate regional leaders to head these efforts.

1. None of the other efforts will be possible in Somalia until the population is able to begin to create a civil society. This creation can be supported but the leadership must come from within the country.

2. Diplomatic efforts will have to empower and coordinate different regional efforts towards the ends of supporting the development of functioning institutions.