). Can Afghanistan be part of a containment process that is developed in parallel with a dialogue with Russia?
There is no straight answer to this question, but one has reasons to believe that this is potentially an approach used by the new administration. One should note, however, also the fact that stability in Afghanistan is of great interest to Russia as well, which is why the administration in Moscow has really shown its interest in working with the U.S. In stabilizing Afghanistan. There are several reasons for this. First, an unstable and uncontrolled Afghanistan is a source of drugs, which generally find the market in Moscow a very profitable one. Second, an insecure Afghanistan is a source of potential extremist and fundamentalist Islam, which is a great source of concern for Russia, especially given its own troubles with the republics in the Northern Caucasus and the terrorist acts that Islamists have organized in Russia (namely Beslan or the attack on the Moscow theatre).
IV. Conclusions
The potential surge in the military effectives of the U.S. In Afghanistan is not due to the necessity of either containing Russia or a conflict with the Muslim civilizations. As it has been shown in this paper, these types of scenarios are circumstantial and explicable only at a certain moment in history. It is certain that Russia is more aggressive now, but it was not so in 2001, when the campaign was launched. At the same time, the new administration in Washington has clearly showed an intention of discussing with its European partners and an openness to dialogue with the Muslim world, including with countries with opposite interests.
The only explanation that does stand its ground is the fact that Afghanistan has a strategic position between the East and West and in the proximity of the Middle East and that a stable and secure Afghanistan would also be in the interest of the entire area. At the same time, another good explanation of the increase in the number of U.S. troops in Afghanistan is given by the asymmetrical threats that the world faces, many of them originating in countries such as Afghanistan.
These types of risks and threats including drugs and weapons trafficking, as well as person trafficking, but, most of all, the terrorist threat. In terms of the different forms of trafficking, these have numerous negative effects at a global level. Drug trafficking obviously encourages consumption by ensuring that there is a constant supply of drugs on the global market. Afghanistan is the number one producer of poppies from which most of the opium-based drugs are made. Additionally, opium is the most important export in Afghanistan. A reduction of the opium trade having Afghanistan as its starting point would reduce consumption worldwide and help the global effort and fight against narcotics.
With weapons trafficking the effects are significant and...
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