Iraq & Iran NIEs
The Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 instituted the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) (as well as the position of Director itself) and tasked it with coordinating intelligence gathering and dissemination between the disparate agencies of the IC. In 2007 the ODNI implemented Intelligence Community Directive (ICD) 203, which outlined analytical standards for the production of any intelligence product with the goal of ensuring that the IC recorded and shared data in rigorous, analytically sound way, and the implementation of these standards was one of the most important changes seen within the IC after the establishment of the ODNI itself. To understand the importance of these analytical standards not only in the creation of intelligence products but in the actions those products inform, one may compare and contrast the 2002 National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iraq, which was prepared without concern for the analytical standards outlined in ICD 203, and the 2006 NIE on Iran, which implements the ICD 203 analytical standards in its assessment of Iran's nuclear intentions and capabilities.
Before comparing and contrasting the 2002 and 2007 NIEs, one must briefly outline the five analytical standards set forth in ICD 203. They are: objectivity, independent of political considerations, timeliness, based on all available sources of intelligence, and exhibits proper standards of analytic tradecraft.
Each of these standards are fairly self-explanatory, although the fifth standard, exhibiting proper standards of analytic tradecraft, is somewhat more involved, because it demands that any given intelligence product provide a...
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