During times of extreme pressure from the supply or demand side, the central bank is prepared to go in and support the currency, to help provide stability. This is significant because traders around the world; will use the major currencies as a way to hedge themselves against different risks. Where, they will view the weakness of one country's currency as a sign that they could be facing a number of different economic challenges. (Fixed vs. Floating Exchange Rate, 2007) a good example of this can be seen with the British pound, where the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates at .5%. This is important, because the increase in rates could be seen as a sign that economic stability could be returning to the country, which would help to reverse the downward pressure on the pound. However, the fact that they decided to keep interest rates unchanged, means that many traders / speculators will continue to place pressure on the currency. This is because of the perception that economy is not performing as well as the rest of the world. As a result, traders and speculators will sell the pound while buying another major currency such as the Japanese yen or U.S. dollar. (Bank of England's Decision Affects Pounds Performance, 2010)
Benefits vs. Drawbacks of the Floating Exchange Rate Policy
There are a number of different benefits and drawbacks that the floating exchange rate system offers. The most notable benefits would include: it allows the government to have greater control over the economy. The drawbacks of the floating rate system would include: it allows the country's currency to be subject to extreme amounts of fear and greed. (Fixed vs. Floating Exchange Rate, 2007) When looking at the benefit of the floating rate system, it allows the government to have greater control of the economy, it is clear that such a system can be used to effectively maintain the balance between the forces of supply and demand, within the currency markets. This is because the lack of intervention from the government, allows the free market to function most effectively. Over the course of time, this policy will allow the economy to be protected from outside shocks that could occur (such as a sharp rise in commodities prices). This allows the central bank to have greater control when setting interest rate policy, as they can respond naturally to what the forces of supply and demand are dictating. Once this occurs, the government has greater control of the economic agenda, where they can set policies (i.e. taxation) that can address any kind of trade surpluses or trade deficits in real time. At which point, the long-term stability of the economy is more balanced, because the government is able to effectively control these two issues. A good example of this can be seen in Japan, where they were able to effectively manage their currency to create a trade surplus. While, at the same time encouraging consumers to begin saving. This is significant because since Japan switched to such a policy, they have greater control over the economy. As the country, was able to continue to see high amounts of savings rates and trade surpluses, which are used to invest in other areas around the world. (12 Myths of International Trade, 1999)
The biggest drawback of the floating exchange rate policy is: it allows the country's currency to be subject to extreme amounts of fear and greed. This is because the currency markets are constantly facing large amounts of emotionalism. Where, the slightest piece of news can cause: investors, traders and speculators to believe the best or worst case scenario is occurring. When the currency is floating up or down, they will often look at other outside information to have an indication as to if the overall up or down trend will remain in place. At certain times, these amounts can become so extreme, that the central bank is forced to reduce the overall money supply in an attempt to address this issue. This would normally occur, when the currency has remained strong for large amounts of time. An example of when the central bank would be reducing the available supply of money can be seen in the U.S. dollar from 1995 to 2000. During this time, the demand for dollar based assets would rise dramatically, as the investors, traders and speculators wanted to own American based assets at any cost. This was a reflection of the above average growth that the economy was experiencing at...
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