Dorchester
The Decision
For Dorchester, the decision about which foreign country in which to invest will be based on a number of different factors. The first of these factors is the economic. We have considered the different elements of the foreign currency issue, but the company must also consider the different local markets. Other factors will have to include the trade environments with the three different countries, because these will also need to factor into the costing and ability to trade. The political environment is also something that needs to be considered, for two different reasons. The first is that these three countries do have different levels of political risk associated with them. The second is that political stability is highly correlated with exchange rate and economic stability. Lastly, Dorchester needs to consider the manufacture of its goods going forward in these countries, in particular for other markets beyond the domestic borders.
Japan
Japan is the most developed economy of the three. The country's entire population is basically middle class or wealthy. Japan's economy, however, is in a state of low growth. Part of this is due to Japan's population, which is not growing, and part of it is due to the fact that Japan has struggled to maintain export dominance in recent years. Japan's government has generally been unable to spur economic growth and there is concern that the company will never truly regain its competitiveness. Japan today competes largely on the basis of technological superiority, and must maintain that in order to continue to be a major world export player.
As noted in the currency analysis, the yen has seen a reduction of its value in the past year, likely a response to the prolonged economic stagnation in the country. A falling yen will make Japanese exports more viable, but the costs of doing business in the country are high. There are also significant cultural and potential political barriers that need to be taken into consideration. The business climate in Japan is substantially different from that in the West. That said, Japan has the ability to produce technologically-advanced televisions, and remains a leader in the industry. If Dorchester intends to pursue a premium acquisition target, Japan is the most natural...
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