Critical Evaluation

Chincarini's analysis of the Amaranth collapse contains five key lessons for portfolio managers and regulators with respect to managing market risk. Of the ones applicable to firms, the first is that liquidity risk must be accounted for. Liquidity risk in Amaranth's case compounded an already-bad situation. The second recommendation is that liquidity risk measures should be developed that are common -- the way that Va is common -- so that communication of liquidity risk is consistent throughout the firm and throughout the industry.

The third is that internal risk management practices must be upheld. The best strategies for managing market risk are irrelevant if the firm is not in a position to implement them. In the case of Amaranth, the energy traders were in Calgary while the risk managers were in New York. This made it more difficult to control the firm's exposure in the natural gas futures market. As…...

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References:

The Relationship Between Market And Accounting Determined Risk Measures: Reviewing And Updating The Beaver, Kettler, Scholes (1970) Study

Michael Jarvela, James Kozyra, Carla Potter. College Teaching Methods & Styles Journal. Littleton: 2009. Vol. 5, Iss. 1; p. 1 (9 pages)

The Intuition and Methodology of Value at Risk

Manuel G. Russon. Review of Business. Jamaica: Fall 2008. Vol. 29, Iss. 1; pg. 39

Part of the overall calculation of uncertainty according to iskMetrics recommendations, however, should include a calculation of correlative uncertainty (Finger 2007). The rationale for including this specific uncertainty in calculations is that it helps to account for inaccuracies and inadequacies in the model, determining the level of risk associated with incorrectly defined or changing correlations used by the model in other calculations and definitions (Finger 2007). An accurate calculation of uncertainty and risk will necessarily include a calculation of the correlative uncertainties attendant upon the model and the situation to which it is applied, providing not a necessarily more accurate view of direct risk, but a useful evaluation of the risk prediction's efficacy.

iskMetrics Calculations: Exposure and Uncertainty

An accurate and well-developed combined understanding of the exposure and uncertainty of a various investment venture or portfolio contributes a nearly complete understanding and assessment of the risks presented by that investment option/portfolio. There…...

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References

Andren, N.; Jankensgard, H. & Oxelheim, L. (2005). "Exposure-Based Cash-Flow-At-Risk under Macroeconomic Uncertainty." Journal of applied corporate finance 17(3), pp. 21-31.

Argentin, P. (2010). "Two-sided counterparty risk." RiskMetrics Group: On the Whiteboard. Accessed 24 September 2010.  http://www.riskmetrics.com/on_the_whiteboard/20100615 

Finger, C. (2007). "We identify two main versions of correlation risk -- parameter uncertainty and new financial products -- and examine the modeling challenges implied by each." RiskMetrics Group: Research Monthly. Accessed 24 September 2010.  http://www.riskmetrics.com/publications/research_monthly/20070400

The major difference between standard deviation and the beta is that the former measures the volatility against the asset's own mean, whereas beta measures the asset's volatility against the market. Standard deviation, therefore, allows the user to understand the asset's specific risk on its own, and can use this information to compare returns against historical average returns. This is valuable because the risk profile of an investment can be significantly different than that of the market, so the returns will be expected to be significantly different as well.
Standard deviation can also be used to measure against other means, for example against historic market returns. However, the beta coefficient is more effective as a measure against the market. Standard deviation and beta are both often used as measures on their own, without any model, because they communication the information clearly. In the capital asset pricing model, for example, the systematic…...

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Works Cited:

Investopedia. (2013). Definition of beta. Investopedia Retrieved April 10, 2013 from  http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/beta.asp 

Morningstar. (2010). Standard deviation. Morningstar Funds 200. Retrieved April 10, 2013 from  http://news.morningstar.com/classroom2/course.asp?docid=2927&page=2

. Research Design Rationale

1. Question format: In order to allow the research study to become embedded in the field of economics, the research question will use an applied question format. The purpose of the study is to develop a predictive method regarding player choices in the Prisoner's dilemma. It will explore the association of risk and cooperation or defection in the Prisoner's

Dilemma.

2. Research design: The research will use a deductive approach where the theory will be presented and tested through the methodology. The research will use quantitative research methods, which are suited for research where the information can be reduced to a numerical format. This is the case in the proposed study as both risk tolerance and the decisions made in the Prisoner's Dilemma can be reduced to numerical data and standard statistical methods applied.

III. Data/Information from Previous research

A. Literature Review

The literature review for the study will be divided into…...

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Bibliography (Preliminary)

Agarwal, J. & Feils, D. (2007). Political Risk and the Internationalization of Firms: an Empirical

Study of Canadian-based Export and Fdi Firms. Canadian Journal of Administrative

Sciences. 24 (3): 165+. Questia Database.

Ansell, C. & Gash, a. (2008). Collaborative Governance in Theory and Practice. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory. 18 (4): 543+. Questia Database.

risk and return for an investment portfolio that includes five asset categories: stocks, bonds, mutual funds, options, and precious metals. The purpose of diversified portfolio investment is to maximize portfolio expected return for a given level of risk, or to minimize risk for a specific level of expected return. This paper reviews mathematical formulae for modeling risk and return which provide a rationale for investment strategies and portfolio management. The paper also discusses risk and return objectives and expectations, along with investment risk profiles.
Risk vs. Return Measurement

In an ideal world, the typical investor would select investments whose attributes include high returns coupled with low risk. In reality, there are few of these kinds of investments available, consequently financial managers have gone to great lengths to develop methods and strategies that allow them to come as close as possible to selecting the ideal investment. One such financial theory for managing…...

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Piazza, J. (n.d.). Objectives and risk. Sensible Investment strategies Web site. Retrieved May 26, 2011 from http://www.seninvest.com/objectives.htm

Risk Measures. (2011). Investopedia Web site. Retrieved May 26, 2011 from  http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskmeasures.asp 

Wan, S.P. (n.d.). Modern portfolio theory. Investment Funds Advisors Web site. Retrieved May 26, 2011 from  http://www.ifa.com/media/images/pdf%20files/mpttextbook.pdf

As a means to gain access to several million people who live a estern lifestyle, South Africa can be a good country to enter, but as a growth story it is much less exciting. Only when the GDP per capita of black and mixed-race South Africans begins to grow rapidly will the country be a truly attractive one for most companies. Arguably, the Human Development Index is a better measure, because it can reflect the overall potential of a nation like South Africa, where the development of one segment of the population is more critical to the market's potential than GDP, which is driven by another segment of the population.
A fourth reason why average per-capita income is not always the best indicator of an emerging market's potential lies in the Gulf States. Many Gulf States have very high average GDP per capita figures, driven by oil revenues. The lifestyle…...

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Works Cited:

Gibson, K. (2002). A case for the family-owned conglomerate. McKinsey Quarterly. Retrieved October 18, 2012 from  http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/A_case_for_the_family-owned_conglomerate_1238 

Rajwani, S. (2011). How should firms deal with political risk? Cranfield University. Retrieved October 18, 2012 from  http://www.som.cranfield.ac.uk/som/p16495/Think-Cranfield/2011/May-2011/How-Should-Firms-Deal-with-Political-Risk 

Sargeant, N. (2006). What risks do organizations face when engaging in international finance activities? Investopedia. Retrieved October 18, 2012 from  http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/06/internationalfinancerisks.asp#axzz29f2QIadw 

Tata.com (2012). Heritage. Tata Group. Retrieved October 18, 2012 from  http://www.tata.com/htm/heritage/HeritageOption1.html

The first economy could conceivable be at a strong low point when I need my money -- it has a higher degree of market risk. It is less likely, based on the correlation of price movements within that economy, that the economy will be down significantly. There is also less risk that it will be up significantly, but as a risk averse investor I am only considering the downside risk. Therefore, I would choose the option that has the least amount of downside risk.
The question cuts to the difference between market risk and firm-specific risk, and short-term and long-term risk. In this situation, the two economies have equivalent market risk in the long-run. They do not have equivalent levels of market risk in the short-run, however. In addition, there is a higher degree of firm-specific risk in the first economy because the firms are impacted by each other. In…...

Capital
There are a number of financing options for small business. The two major categories are debt and equity. Debt comes in a variety of forms. Bank loans are common. Credit cards are used sometimes by startups; bond issues by larger firms. Debt is an attractive option for a number of reasons. Debt has a lower cost of capital, which is beneficial to many small businesses. As well, debt financing allows the owners of the company to maintain control, and this is usually considered to be quite important for many small businesses in particular. The downside to debt is that the company is then obligated to pay that debt back before it can reinvest profits back into the business - debt repayment is more important than reinvestment in terms of financial obligations (Parker, 2012).

Equity comes at a higher cost than debt. Equity is also means that some control is given over…...

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References

Mahmood, D. (2013). How to choose the right investment banker. Inc. Magazine. Retrieved May 31, 2014 from  http://www.inc.com/david-mahmood/how-to-choose-the-right-investment-banker.html 

Parker, T. (2012). Small business financing: Debt or equity? Investopedia. Retrieved May 31, 2014 from  http://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/1112/small-business-financing-debt-or-equity.aspx

isks in Export Market
There is need for companies to develop a professional approach before venturing into the exporting business. The management of the company is supposed to be committed extremely as well as devoting time and money in commencing the campaigns of export. A company is supposed to be ready to face greater competition as well as more stringent rules and regulations concerning products and packaging due to the variance in rules to which or across which the company will be exporting.

In the process of exportation, there are a number of risks that the company will face. These elements of risks are encountered in every commercial transactions as well as the complexity of the environments that exporters operate in. The content of this paper will analyze risks that a company can face while entering the field of exporting as well as discussing the roles of intermediaries in the field of…...

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References

Aaby, N. & S. Slater. (1989). Management Influences on Export Performance: A Review of the Empirical Literature1978-88. International Marketing Review, 6: 7-26.

Andrew B. Bernard & J. Bradford Jensen & Stephen J. Redding & Peter K. Schott, (2007). "Firms in International Trade," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(3), pages 105-130, Summer.

Barney, J. (1991). Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage. Journal of Management, 17: 99-120.1997. Gaining and Sustaining Competitive Advantage. Reading, MA: Addison.

Cornelius Bothma (2012). Managing your export risk. EXPORTHELP. Retrieved April 13, 2012 from  http://www.exporthelp.co.za/modules/10_risk/intro.html

isk, eturn and Their Evaluation
isk & Performance Indicators

Since this is a small business, therefore raising equity capital through public stock issue is less likely than debt or whatever form of paper issued to angel or venture investors. Therefore while a larger, publicly traded firm would consider the return on equity version of the short form DuPont equation, a small, more closely-held concern would focus on return on assets (OA). If OA is net income over sales times sales over total assets, i.e. net income over total assets, then any action that could increase the numerator, total income, or shrink the denominator(s) should increase OA compared to past performance within the firm and the competition outside it. If competitors all use the same (best) plant, then maximizing efficiency of the same assets through process or brand innovation; input cost reductions, and also financial performance like minimizing payables days over days receivable…...

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Reference

Investopedia (2011). How to calculate required rate of return. Forex. 25 Feb. 2011. Retrieved

from  http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/11/calculating-required-rate-of-return.asp#axzz1wxIzjR6l

Market Patterns
One industry that has shifted in the past few years in terms of its structure is the smartphone operating system market. A few years ago, most of the early smartphones were based around proprietary operating systems. Palm and Blackberry dominated the market. Apple joined the industry with the introduction of the iPhone, but more recently other firms have entered the market as well, including Google (Android), indows, Symbian and other systems. The market has moved from a stable oligopoly of four firms basically between two firms into a market that is much closer to monopolistic competition. However, there is the risk that as operating systems shake out, the market could return to an oligopoly of just three operating systems (est & Mace, 2007).

In the short-run, firms in this industry will seek to gain market share through differentiation. The products are slightly differentiated from each other -- they perform the…...

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Works Cited:

West, J. & Mace, M. (2007). Appropriability, proximity, routines and innovation. Druid Summer Conference 2007. Retrieved February 4, 2012 from http://www2.druid.dk/conferences/viewpaper.php?id=1675&cf=9%20{^

Seppala, (no date). Monopolistic competition. University of Illinois. Retrieved February 4, 2012 from http://www.econ.uiuc.edu/~seppala/econ102/lect15.pdf

Watkins, T. (no date). The transaction cost approach to the theory of the firm. San Jose University. Retrieved February 4, 2012  http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/coase.htm 

Blodget, H. (2011). Android is destroying everyone, especially RIM -- iPhone dead in water. Business Insider. Retrieved February 4, 2012 from http://articles.businessinsider.com/2011-04-02/tech/30089528_1_android-phones-google-s-android-smartphone-market

This was because they were seeing one of their primary competitors (Travelers) merging with Citicorp (which created a juggernaut of: insurance, banking and brokerage activities). At which point, executives at AIG felt that in order to: maintain their dominance in the industry and offer new products they should become involved in similar activities. The difference was that they would grow the company by expanding into areas that were considered to be speculative to include: commodities, stocks, options and credit default swaps. The way that this was accomplished is by purchasing a host of businesses that were involved in these activities. This is significant, because it meant that a shift would take place in: how managers were accounting for risks and the kinds of activities that they were becoming involved in. With the newly acquired companies; bringing over executives that did not practice the same kind of strategies for dealing…...

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Bibliography

Travelers, Citigroup Unite. (1998). CNN. Retrieved from:  http://money.cnn.com/1998/04/06/deals/travelers/ 

US saw 13 Bank Failures Every Month in 2010. (2011). Economic Times. Retrieved from: http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2011-01-02/news/28424370_1_medium-banks-bank-failures-problem-banks

Baum, C. (2009). The Impact of Macro Economic Uncertainty. Boston College, Boston, MA.

Byoun, S. (2007). Financial Flexibility. Baylor University, Waco, TX.

Market Efficient espect Set Information Impossible Makes Abnormal Profits
Market Efficient

In his work, Fama argued that given the massive use of resources by the brokerage firm to conduct studies on trends in the industry, the effects of changes in interest rates on corporate balance sheets and expectations of managers and/or political analysts of the companies should be able to systematically beat a generic portfolio with the same risk characteristics.

Since, according to Fama, professional in every situation, the analyst has a fifty percent chance of beating the market; although its specific capabilities did not exist he would beat a lot of the market. The analyst did "help" the market to be efficient if all the investors, in fact, would hold portfolios composed of stock indices, would open up significant opportunities for professional traders to take advantage of the situation. But the movement of traders to that "new market" would mean that the…...

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References

Arrow, K.J., 1959. 'Toward a theory of price adjustment', in M. Abramovitz (ed.), The Allocation of Economic Resources, and Stanford: Stanford University Press, pp. 41 -- 51.

Aumann, R.J., 1964. "Markets with a Continuum of Traders," Econometrica, Vol. 32, No. 1/2, Jan. - Apr., pp. 39 -- 50.

Clifton, J.A., 1977. "Competition and the evolution of the capitalist mode of production," Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 137 -- 151.

Frank, R., 2008. Microeconomics and Behavior 7th ed. (McGraw-Hill) ISBN 978-007-126349-8.

Risk Management [1]
If you believe a stock will appreciate and want to risk little to speculate that the stock will rise what are your option?

Holding a call option is fairly low risk because it would allow me to buy future stocks at a current price. An increase in stock value would limit my losses and allow me to profit by means of leveraged speculation. As a holder exercising a call option, I would be able to benefit from the same profit in underlying stock by paying only a minimal amount of money. By risking only a small percentage of my capital towards an insurance premium, I am potentially able to benefit from trends and hedge away risks within the call-option deadline.

Potential losses can be offset against either long-or-short stock portfolios by means of trading call strategies. A Fiduciary call would allow for a reduced capital outlay by means of replacing…...

isk and Insurance Management
isk is believed to be a newly coined word of assurance (for example, Ewald, 1991: 198). One of the broadly shared suppositions regarding insurance is that it spins around an instrumental concept of risk. Possibility and the amount of influence make up a technical concept of hazard/risk and hazard administration is chiefly worried about reviewing these possibilities and influences (for an overview see Gratt, 1987). For instance, external profits of financial or political occurrences lay down thresholds for the availability of associated risk guesstimates or reckonings (Huber, 2002).

So, the range of the risk groups cannot be clarified by risk judgment single-handedly; peripheral circumstances that could be political, financial or inclusive of image, arts and manners, are also required to be taken into account. Therefore, if risks are not be present, per se, but are deliberately selected, we can go a step ahead and presume them to be…...

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References

Douglas, M. And Wildavsky, A. (1982) Risk and Culture. An Essay on the Selection of Technical and Environmental Dangers. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Evers, A. And Nowotny, H. (1987) Uber den Umgang mit Unsicherheit. Die Entdeckung der Gestaltbarkeit von Gesellschaft. Frankfurt / Main: Suhrkamp.

Ewald, F. (1991) 'Insurance and Risk' in Burchell, G., Gordon, C. And Miller, P. (eds.) The Foucault Effect: studies in governmentality . London: Harvester Wheatsheaf.

Gratt, L.B. (1987) 'Risk Analysis or Risk Assessment: a proposal for consistent definitions' in Covello, V. And Lave, L. (eds.) Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management and Decision Making, Advances in Risk Analysis (4). New York: Plenum Press.

Understanding financial risk can help individuals make better investment decisions by providing them with the knowledge and tools to assess and manage potential risks associated with different investment opportunities. By understanding the various types of financial risks, such as market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, and interest rate risk, investors can make more informed decisions about their investment choices.

Additionally, understanding financial risk can help individuals to establish realistic investment goals and develop a well-diversified investment portfolio that can help mitigate risks and maximize returns. By considering the level of risk they are comfortable with and their investment time horizon, individuals....

Understanding Financial Risk: A Key to Informed Investment Decisions

Financial risk is an inherent aspect of investing. It refers to the possibility of losing some or all of the invested capital due to adverse market conditions, economic downturns, or other unforeseen events. Comprehending the nature and extent of financial risk is crucial for individuals to make informed and responsible investment decisions that align with their financial goals and risk tolerance.

Assessing Risk Tolerance

The first step in making sound investment decisions is to assess one's risk tolerance. This involves evaluating how comfortable an individual is with the potential for losses. Risk tolerance is....

Key Findings from Literature Review on Risk Analysis of Infosys Investments
1. Geopolitical and Economic Risks
Infosys faces geopolitical risks associated with its global operations, particularly in politically unstable regions.
Economic downturns and currency fluctuations can impact its revenue and profitability.
2. Competition and Market Risks
Intense competition from both domestic and international IT service providers poses a threat to Infosys's market share.
Emergence of new technologies and disruptive business models can disrupt its traditional offerings.
3. Operational Risks
System failures, data breaches, and project delays can lead to reputational damage and financial losses.
Dependence on a narrow range of clients and industries....

Innovative Approach to Solving a Critical Problem in Professional Career

Problem:

In my previous role as a supply chain manager at a multinational manufacturing company, we faced a complex and recurring problem: optimizing inventory levels across multiple warehouses to minimize storage costs while ensuring high order fulfillment rates.

Traditional Approach:

Typically, companies rely on statistical models and spreadsheets to forecast demand and set inventory targets. However, these methods often struggled to account for seasonal variations, product mix changes, and unexpected disruptions. As a result, we often ended up with either excess inventory or stockouts, both of which had significant financial and operational implications.

Innovative Approach:

To....