Verified Document

Yen For Yuan China Is Case Study

One could expect a dollar depreciation of 2.5%. Because the 25% appreciation in the yuan represents the amount it is currently undervalued against the dollar, one can expect a significant drop in the demand for China's goods. However, the appetite for foreign goods in general will still be strong as the U.S. turns to China's competitors such as Europe, South Korea and Japan.

China relies on a fixed exchange rate rather than letting market forces invoke needed exchange rate adjustments. To maintain its fixed exchange rate, the Bank of China has had to issue more yuan to buy up dollars that are flowing into the country. This has meant a dramatic increase in China's money supply which as risen from 19.6% in 2003 to 14.6% in 2004. As a result, inflation has now displaced deflation as the main economic policy concern with the government worrying about the outfall of the asset bubbles inflation has created, particularly since banks already have $500 billion in nonperforming loans from state companies and property developers. As a solution, China might consider some yuan appreciation or develop policies to encourage capital outflows that...

Chinese consumers have to pay higher prices for foreign goods and consumers. It is more difficult for Chinese businesses and investors to expand into foreign markets. and, Chinese tourists have to pay more when they are traveling abroad.
The percentage gain to a dollar investor would be 65.6% as shown by the following calculations:

China currently has its exchange rate at 8.28 yuan to the dollar. The value of the yuan increases from $0.1208 (1/8.28) to $0.20 (1/5).

Thus, the increase in the dollar value is (0.20-0.1208) / 0.1208 which equals 65.6%.

Relaxing currency controls and restraints on capital outflows would increase capital outflows and increase the demand for foreign currency. These factors should, in turn, decrease the pressure on the yuan to revalue. Further, the yuan might actually experience depreciation if there is a large enough demand for foreign assets. Because there are already signs of asset bubbles in China, this scenario is a real possibility…

Cite this Document:
Copy Bibliography Citation

Related Documents

Yen for Yuan China Has
Words: 682 Length: 2 Document Type: Term Paper

Therefore, it is difficult to determine exactly how significant the depreciatin would be. As the dollar reaches fair valuation with the yuan, the impact would certainly be extraordinary as China loses its unfair price advantages to competing countries like the U.S., Europe, Japan and South Korea. In order to maintain the same peg to the dollar that it has kept since 1996, China has been increasing its money supply to

Factors That Positively Affect the Yuan
Words: 3619 Length: 12 Document Type: Research Paper

8% as compared to the dollar in the start of the last year to January this year. The value of Yuan has improved even with the fall of other emerging economies. The loss of competitiveness that resulted can be best demonstrated by a ratio that has been calculated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, which makes a comparison of Yuan with the currency of the other emerging markets that are

China Under Communism, Confucian Values, Considered Vestiges
Words: 3070 Length: 9 Document Type: Essay

China Under Communism, Confucian values, considered vestiges of the old feudal system, were supposed to have been completely swept away. Judging from what you have read from the readings, do you believe Confucianism completely disappeared after 1949? Confucianism is the philosophical and ethical system of belief based upon the teachings of the Chinese philosopher Confucius. The core belief of Confucianism was humanism which is the belief that human beings can change, adapt,

China's Economic Challenge to the U.S. the
Words: 870 Length: 3 Document Type: Essay

China's Economic Challenge to the U.S. The rise of China as an economic superpower has occurred against the backdrop of increased globalization and the explosive growth of the developing world and the other BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, and S. Africa). China's growing prominence in the global financial community manifested itself in 2010 as "Japan ceded its spot as the world's second biggest economy to China. Japan's nominal GDP for 2010

China's Renminbi What Will Be
Words: 801 Length: 2 Document Type: Case Study

While at the same time, it will make imports in Hong Kong / China cheaper in relation to goods that are manufactured in both locations. Over the course of time, this will cause the trade surplus that Hong Kong / China enjoys decreasing as both markets begin to buy the cheaper foreign imports. ("The Impact of China's Revaluation of the Yuan," 2005) Yet, both Hong Kong and China are facing

Dorchester the Decision for Dorchester, the Decision
Words: 1448 Length: 4 Document Type: Essay

Dorchester The Decision For Dorchester, the decision about which foreign country in which to invest will be based on a number of different factors. The first of these factors is the economic. We have considered the different elements of the foreign currency issue, but the company must also consider the different local markets. Other factors will have to include the trade environments with the three different countries, because these will also need

Sign Up for Unlimited Study Help

Our semester plans gives you unlimited, unrestricted access to our entire library of resources —writing tools, guides, example essays, tutorials, class notes, and more.

Get Started Now