¶ … asset classes, setting out their characteristics and risks.
Australian shares are shares in the market of publicly traded companies that range from small to medium to large-cap stocks. Shares can or cannot provide dividends to shareholders, depending on their makeup. Shares can increase or decrease in value, depending on a number of factors ranging from fundamental valuation to market or sector conditions, to laws of supply and demand to market psychology, momentum and stop-hunting algorithms. Trading shares in today's market conditions can be viewed as more perilous than ever before because of the inherit risk of losing to HFTs, of improperly hedging one's investment and being exposed to downside risk, and of improperly diversifying or investing in the wrong sector or company at the wrong time (for example, as it is poised to pull back, collapse, or be diluted through toxic debt).
Australian bonds can come in the form of corporate or government debt that is offered to investors in exchange for yield. Today, yields across the globe are turning negative (in Japan, for example, and in Europe too). Traditionally, bonds have been viewed as wealth preservers with low-risk, but as more retail investors come into the market to buy bonds, the volatility of values has increased, and with government and corporate debt increasing exponentially in recent years, the likelihood of later offerings (with increased yields, per se) could negate the value of current bondholders. Thus not all bonds are created equal.
Cash may be one of the best asset classes to be in, in today's market, as volatility increases in markets around the world and stocks pull back from all-time market highs. However, the "war on cash" (Thomas, 2016) may also be a going concern for some as well as the "exportation of deflation" of countries like China (Durden, 2016). Deciding what to do with cash and how long to hold and whether inherent value will be lost by maintaining are some of the risks of this position.
International shares are like Australian shares except they are part of companies that are based in foreign countries. The same risks and characteristics apply. Social, political and economical consideration should be given these investments, as events can trigger both gains and losses in price per share. For example, El Dorado gold mining company lost value as a result of its having a mine in Greece, where political, social and economic turmoil caused investors to doubt the stability of the project there. On the other hand, Harmony gold gained value because of its projects in South Africa where the rand has become cheap allowing costs associated with the mine to drop considerably. Foreign exchange risk is also another consideration.
Listed Property Trusts (A-REIT) is a portfolio of property assets that is formed into a single unite through the combination of multiple units and listed on an exchange such as the ASX. Known as LPTs prior to 2008, the new A-REIT moniker is more in line with international coinage. A-REITs typically include large property portfolios too big for individual retail investors; therefore, they are divided into small units and sold to retailers, who then are said to be unit holder. This form of investment is an alternative to direct property investment and is desirable for several reasons, not the least being that it provides a much more liquid market than the actual housing market, which is considered very illiquid. Risks inherit in this asset class consist of interest rates movement: if rates go up, demand for A-REITs typically goes down (though the explanation for this does not necessarily provide an adequate justification, as one would think that in a strong economy, occupancy would increase, thus giving better returns). Another associated risk is in holding an A-REIT that is exposed to a sector that is in decline (such as the suburban mall). Thus societal trends can impact the listed property trust asset class as much as they can the other classes.
b. Calculate the AM (Arithmetic Mean) and GM (Geometric Mean) measures of the average annual yield on each of these asset classes during the period 1983-2003. Contrast the resulting measures of average yield for each asset class.
GM of Australian Shares (1983-2003): 1.15987 or 15.987%
GM of Australian Bonds (1983-2003): 1.17173 or 17.173%
GM of Cash (1983-2003): 1.09173 or 9.173%
GM of International Shares (1983-2003): 1.12532 or 12.532%
GM of Listed Property Trusts (1983-2003): 1.13635 or 13.635%
AM of Australian Shares (1983-2003): 1.159857 or 15.9857%
AM of Australian Bonds (1983-2003): 1.149857 or 14.9857%
AM...
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