How Compellence by Indian and Pakistan has Prolonged the Kashmir Question
Introduction
The partition of British India into the two independent nations in August 1947 was intended to create coexisting, peaceful homelands for the Hindus and Sikhs in India and Moslems in Pakistan. Since that time, however, India and Pakistan have waged three shooting wars over the hotly disputed territories of Kashmir where each nation claims ownership. Today, an uneasy ceasefire exists along the line of control established following the first such war in 1963, but each side accuses the other of inciting new hostilities through armed provocative incursions into disputed regions of Kashmir. With both India and Pakistan possessing a nuclear arsenal with inadequate and unpredictable command and control, it is reasonable to suggest that a conventional war that started between these two belligerents may not end that way. Against this backdrop, determining why Kashmir has remained a major source of contention between these ideologically and religiously different neighbors represents a timely and valuable enterprise for policymakers. To this end, this paper presents a review of the relevant literature concerning the historic and recent uses of compellence by these two belligerents and how these actions have only served to perpetuate the conflict unto the present rather than resolve it militarily or peacefully.
Review and Analysis
Background and overview
Today, while the Demilitarized Zone that separates South and North Korea along the 38th parallel continues to receive the majority of attention from policymakers in the United States, Kashmir remains the largest and most militarized region in the world with various sections of the territory under the respective control of India (which administers portions of Kashmir and Jammu) and Pakistan (which controls the Northern Areas and Azad Kashmir) as well as the de facto administration of the Aksai Chin region by China[footnoteRef:2] (please see the regional map at Appendix A). This unwieldy and seemingly untenable situation has been continuously exacerbated due to armed hostilities prosecuted by both India and Pakistan over the years which resulted in the first and second Indo-Pakistan wars in 1947 and 1963, and more recently in December 1971 when India charged Pakistan with air strikes against one of its airfields in the Western sector.[footnoteRef:3] [2: “Pakistan transnational issues.” (2018). CIA World Factbook. [online] available: https://www.cia.gov/ library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/pk.html.] [3: “A brief history of the Kashmir conflict.” (2018). The Telegraph. [online] available: https://www. telegraph.co.uk/news/1399992/A-brief-history-of-the-Kashmir-conflict.html.]
In international disputes, it is axiomatic that every story has at least two sides, and that is certainly the case with the manner in which India and Pakistan have prosecuted their respective interests and claims over Kashmir for more than a half century. There are some profoundly varying viewpoints regarding Kashmir issue due to fundamental religious and ideological difference over Pakistan and India’s competing interests and claims over Kashmir.[footnoteRef:4] The fact that this heated dispute continues to mar relations between two nuclear powers and destabilize the entire Indian subcontinent region suggests that neither side may view an end to hostilities as being in their best interests. [4: Amjad Abbas Khan and Sardar Sajid Mehmood. (2018, January-June). “Kashmir and Global Powers.” South Asian Studies 33(1), 147.]
Indeed, a resolution adopted by the nascent United Nations (UN) Security Council in January 1948 specifically called upon “the Government of India and the Government of Pakistan to take immediately all measures within their power (including public appeals to their people) calculated to improve the situation, and to refrain from making any statements and from doing or causing to be done or permitting any acts which might aggravate the situation.”[footnoteRef:5] Notwithstanding this and subsequent UN resolutions concerning Kashmir that mirrored these requests for forbearance of compellence on the part of either belligerent, there have been hundreds of minor skirmishes, dozens of significant clashes and three outright shooting wars over the years due to incursions by both Indian and Pakistan over the Kashmir problem,[footnoteRef:6] and these issues are discussed further below [5: “Resolutions adopted and decisions taken by the Security Council in 1948.” United Nations. [online] available: https://undocs.org/S/RES/38(1948).] [6: Hau K. Sum and Ravichandran Moorthy. (2013, September). “The Genesis of Kashmir Dispute.” Asian Social Science. 9(11), 155.]
Compellence by India from Pakistan’s...
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