¶ … fall 2007, the United States economy was rolling along in a healthy fashion having enjoyed 24 consecutive quarters of positive Gross Domestic Product growth. The Standard and Poors Index was over 1,500 and unemployment was below 5%. There was essentially no inflation. These were all good numbers and normally indicative of a health economy (Bloomberg Business Week).
Roughly 12 months later everything had changed. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson surprised everyone by announcing that the Government was intending to intervene in the U.S. economy by holding reverse auctions where the troubled assets of several domestic financial institutions would be bought (Landler). As matters worsened quickly, the proposed auction concept was expanded to the point that the Government would actually purchase equity positions in some of the country's largest banks. The argument offered by Paulson was that such measures were needed to stabilize the troubled financial markets, avoid bank failures, and prevent a credit freeze.
Paulson had no sooner announced these measures when the rest of the economy also seemed to fall apart. The stock market prices fell sharply, housing prices continued the slide that had begun in late 2006, and retail sales contracted. It was as if the entire economy had come to a complete standstill at the same time.
There is no lack of opinions on what caused this sudden turn in fortunes for the U.S. economy (Zeckhauser). Financial experts and politicians have offered all sorts of explanations such as excessive risk-taking by the private sector, inadequate or inappropriate regulation, deficient financial management, and so on but the one factor that is discussed the least may be the single most important one: misguided federal policies.
Since the end of the Second World War the U.S. Government has promoted the idea of homeownership (Carliner). Over those years the Government has designed a number of programs and developed policies that have resulted in the creation of a number of several powerful and influential agencies. Some of these agencies include the Federal Housing Administration, the Federal Home Loan Banks, Fannie Mae, Sallie Mae, and Freddie Mac. Each of these agencies was created in some fashion to assist in the policy of promoting home ownership. Additionally, the Internal Revenue Service participated in the promotion through the allowance of home interest deduction, favored treatment of capital gains on housing, and the inclusion of the Homestead Exception in the bankruptcy code.
For many decades the Government's housing promotion policy had no noticeable negative effects. The reason for this is that where the Government did intervene in what should have been free market activities it did so responsibly. This all changed, however, as the Government began to involve itself in the promotion of homeownership for low-income households (Shay). At some point in the 90's, the Department of Housing and Urban Development suddenly began applying pressure on the private lenders to provide mortgage loans to those who had traditionally been unable to procure such financing. Adding to the problem was the fact that political pressure was also being applied to government agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to finance the same high risk individuals. By late 2003 and early 2004 the result of these pressures was the creation of thousands of mortgages to individuals with extremely poor credit histories.
A second federal policy also contributed to the situation. Unbeknown to many taxpayers, the U.S. Government has been bailing out institutions involved in private risk-taking for some time. This has been the Government's policy for some time as several different banks have been provided with funds in order to protect them from going under. These bailouts have been going on for some with little fanfare (Gup). This practice of providing bailouts to potentially failing financial institutions seemed to create an expectation among the industry that the government would step in if necessary to cushion any potential losses from risky investments. With the Government encouraging financial institutions to expand their involvement in high risk mortgage debt and, at the same time, indicating that they were willing to bail out those who might fail as a result, financial institutions had every incentive to continue participating in the high risk mortgage market. The industry could not continue in this fashion and a crash was inevitable but no one was willing to admit it. There was too much money being made and no one was willing to step forward and cry wolf. As long as housing prices continued to rise the situation could continue but once housing prices began...
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