What does the future hold for relations between China and Japan?
Given their longstanding disputes and track record of going to war over resources, it would be reasonable to suggest that future relations between China and Japan are going to be characterized by a reluctant, pragmatic trade-off between bi-lateral commerce and the need to hammer out their respective differences over foreign policy current issues on which they currently diverge. Although Japan horsewhipped China militarily throughout the early 20th century in its quest for scarce resources to fuel its enormous war machinery, things have changed and China is no longer the second-class nation Japan faced prior to and during World War II. Moreover, because these two nations are both the main Asian economic juggernauts, the stakes are high for Japan and China as well as the rest of the international community. While there are no foreign policy crystal balls that can help predict the nature of the future relations between these two Asian Tigers, it is possible to develop some informed and timely insights concerning these issues by examining recent and current trends. To this end, this paper reviews the literature to provide the background for the current situation between Japan and China, followed by a comparison of relevant key metrics. Finally, based on the findings that emerge from this research, an analysis concerning what the future holds for relations between China and Japan is followed by a summary of the research in the conclusion.
Background
The historical record shows that relations between China and Japan date to at least 1,500 BCE, and these two countries have never really gotten along. In this regard, Brown (2016) notes that, “Japanese and Chinese imperial disdain for each other manifested itself very early on in prickly protocol, with the Chinese dynastic courts always trying to present Japan as a semi-vassal state, and the Japanese returning the contempt in the earliest dynasties” (para. 7). Furthermore, the historical record also makes it clear that Japan has never really been intimidated by its gigantic neighbor in terms of culture, learning, politics or economics and it has long attempted to overcome China’s regional hegemony. For example, Economy (2017) notes that:
As early as 600, Japan subtly began to assert its equality with China. In that year, a Japanese delegation brought a letter to the Sui dynasty's emperor referring...
References
Brown, K. (2016, August 31). The most dangerous problem in Asia: China-Japan relations. The Diplomat. Retrieved from https://thediplomat.com/2016/08/the-most-dangerous-problem-in-asia-china-japan-relations/.
Chuck, E. (2016, March 31). Fact sheet: Who has nuclear weapons and how many do they have? NBC News. Retrieved from https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/fact-sheet-who-has-nuclear-weapons-how-many-do-they-n548481.
Economy, E. C. (2017, July/August). History with Chinese characteristics: How China’s imagined past shapes its present. Foreign Affairs, 96(4), 141-145.
Khatoon, S. (2017, January 1). The rise of China and India-Japan strategic partnership. IUP Journal of International Relations, 11(1), 52-55.
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