Risk Management
CSLO
The reason why it is important to understand the role of the financial markets is: because of globalization. As, this has caused shifts in: the economy and the way people are interacting with each other. One way to effectively comprehend what is taking place is with, the indices reflecting how these transformations are impacting the world economy. This means that ordinary people need to have an: understanding of the markets and the way they are reacting to various events. This will help them to determine, what will occur in the economy over the next nine months to one year. As, prudent individuals can begin to plan on: profiting from these changes or they could protect their assets. In either case, understanding the markets in this aspect will help everyone to more effectively prepare for uncertainties. This is how you can be able to increase your net worth and protect it during times when it could be facing severe challenges (i.e. bear markets).
The way that I was able to learn about derivatives and the role in the economy is seeing there long-term effect. As, these instruments have been used as an effective way of helping to mitigate risks in the market (i.e. hedging). However, the last several years have meant that more investors have become involved in these areas. Their main objectives are to increase their overall return and reduce their risks dramatically.
Yet, they do not understand the possible risks and the impact that it could have on their portfolio. This is because the use of derivatives, have become so common in the markets that most people assume that they are invested safe areas (without investigating them further). The reason why is because this asset class has been utilized so much, that is now of part of modern portfolio thinking. This means that these kinds of investments are: one way that a number of institutional and individual investors are trying to diversify their holdings. The problem is that globalization can take a risky investment and spread it around the world. If there is a bubble in a particular area, this could cause investors to take larger risks without realizing what is happening. At which point, they are exposed to changes in the economic cycle. Once this occurs, it means that they could see dramatic losses in their portfolio.
A good example of this can be seen with the recent financial crisis. As, derivatives were at the heart of the tranches that were: sold to investors of subprime mortgages. This is when the investment banks, bundled a number of high profile mortgages together. The idea was to: reduce the risks of default and increase the total return that they were providing.
Prior to 2007, many investment bankers claimed that the risks were reduced because of: the pool (i.e. tranche) and could they could purchase put options to protect themselves. The problem was that there were no public markets, where these products were trading and no one understood the true value of them. This made purchasing any kind of puts difficult.
Once the economy began to slow, investors were left holding assets that could not be sold and there was no way to accurately value them. What made the situation worse is that large financial institutions (i.e. banks) began to face liquidity problems. This is because they were holding, a large number of these assets on their balance sheets. Since this there was no way to accurately value or sell them they were essentially worthless (creating a liquidity crisis). This experience shaped my views of derivatives and their role in the economy. As, they are a great way to be to: provide protection (if they are used properly). However, during bull markets and times of strong economic expansion, is when the risks increase exponentially. Therefore, some kind of balance and common sense needs to be used when becoming involved in this particular asset class.
The role of buying and selling assets is based off of the laws of supply and demand. This means that there will be times when you will have excessive demand (bull markets) and supply (bear markets). These forces will cause the indices to overreact in both directions. This is due to the fact that excessive supply is pushing the markets beyond normal valuations. Once this begins to happen, is when investors need to be prepared for sudden changes. As, they must use strategies (such as: hedging) to protect their portfolio. While at the same time realizing, that bubbles or extreme slowdowns can linger for a period of months to years. This is why the markets are constantly going...
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