Rising U.S. Crime Rate
Crime in the United States
Crime in the United States took a sharp uptick starting in the middle of the 20th century but has actually leveled off since then, at least for the most part. However, even with the moderation in crime, especially in larger cities that have traditionally been problematic, crime in some cities is still alarmingly high and there are some cultural and social trends that are becoming more and more prevalent and, by extension, more commonly talked about as well. This essay will explore a couple of the more notorious examples of this in motion.
Crime Falling
One study conducted for this research noted that predicting the crime rate at any given point in time can be exceedingly maddening to predict because of how a single happenstance or course of events can have a massive effect on the overall rates. The study uses the 1993 bombing attack on the World Trade Center as an example. If the towers had toppled over, as was the intention of the bombers, then the deaths could have easily been in the tens of thousands given the amount of people in the towers themselves as well as in the streets and buildings surrounding the towers (Donohue, 1998).
As the researcher assesses the same viewpoint when looking at the 9/11 attacks, which happened three years after the publication of the study mentioned in the last paragraph, the death count could have been immeasurably higher than the three to four thousand that it was. Since the towers did not immediately fall and since the plans struck the towers fairly high above the ground and above most structures, much of the death count was probably in the immediate blast radius, above that point in each tower (due to inability to escape) and with the first responders that were in the towers when they did fall.
Coming back to the source, the study notes that looking at long-term trends is much more informative and useful than looking at shortened windows of time since outliers and exceptions can skew data if the focus is too narrow. The study also notes that looking at a staple crime, like murder, and its rate over time is often linkable to other crimes as they tend to rise and fall together rather than move separately or differently. To that end, most violent crime rates have fallen or at least tapered off over the last few decades (Donohue, 1998).
However, there are certain trends and patterns that are disturbing. One example is people moving into (or out of) neighborhoods for reasons such as race or cultural differences. An example of this is the often maligned (yet disputed) instance of "white flight," whereby white people and families consciously leave a neighborhood due to black (or other minority) families moving into the area. Many note that this cuts both ways but many scholars say it is less than constructive or positive to make living and lifestyle decisions based on something like race (Massey, Condran & Denton, 1987).
Even with the age of the article, the author of this paper selected it because of an example given in the open passages. A black family was moving into an area in Philadelphia in 1985 and roughly four hundred white men and women were standing about shouting racial epithets and other derogatory terms. What is flooring about this anecdote is that this even would be roughly a generation removed from the civil rights progress of the 1960's and this was not happening in the South. Even with this shocking event, it is noted that there were many other areas of the town where blacks and whites lived amongst each other and in the same neighborhoods with little to no problem (Massey, Condran & Denton, 1987).
As far as how this all correlates to crime, there was a clear link stated in this article between how people prefer/do live together and the economic...
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