Retirement Planning
Retirement means different things to different people. For some, retirement means being sufficiently financially independent to travel and relax 24 hours a day. Others may view retirement as a "career change." However an individual views retirement will help determine how much he or she will need to retire. Will the lifestyle change dramatically in retirement, or will an individual continue doing the things you currently do, trading work for leisure and volunteering? Will they incur more expenses in retirement for leisure and travel, or will they prefer to spend more time with children, grandchildren and family?
To get better idea of what expenses will be when an individual is ready to retire, the expenses should be adjusted for inflation. Unfortunately, no one knows the future rate of inflation, so estimates must be made. The table below provides a multiplication factor for expenses for different rates of inflation. For example, if there are 10 years until retirement and one expects a 5% inflation rate, one should multiply the current expenses by the inflation table factor 1.63. A current need of $5,000 per year translates to a requirement of $8.150 per year, 10 years later - just to stay even (5,000 x 1.63).
Years To Retirement Current
Annual Rate of Inflation
3% - 4% - 5%
5 Years
1.16-1.22-1.28
10 Years
1.34-1.48-1.63
15 Years
1.56-1.80-2.08
20 Years
1.81-2.19-2.65
25 Years
2.09-2.67-3.39
30 Years
2.43-3.24-4.32
In determining the income that my parents will have at retirement, we need to add the various components. They will receive $30,000 per year from an annual pension from their employer. There is also Social Security. The amount of the Social Security monthly benefit to which the worker is entitled depends upon that earnings record and upon the age at which the retiree chooses to begin receiving benefits. Currently, the earliest age at which benefits are payable is 62. Should my parents choose to wait until age 66, ten years from now, to start receiving benefits, they will receive $1,150 per month, or $13,800 per year. This is a nice addition to other income, but hardly enough to live on by itself. Total defined benefit plans would be $43,800 per year.
Many experts claim that the average person needs 65% to 75% of their pre-retirement income. You can get a good idea of how much you need by examining your current lifestyle and adjusting it for your retirement vision. The best way to determine how much you will need in the future is to know what you need right now. Some people think they need their current income. That is not true. You need cash inflows to cover your current expenses, taxes, and savings for future needs. In retirement, you will need cash inflows to cover expenses and taxes only. You may wish to continue saving for your heirs, but that is not a need. Your expenses may change if you change your lifestyle, and your taxes will change depending whether your cash inflows are from income or a return of investment. In retirement, you will have the same expenses as you do today. Below is a list of expense items and the amount currently spent for them. The "Future Amount" column is the amount using the inflation table factor of 1.63, previously calculated.
Expenses
Current
Amount
Future
Amount
Housing: (rent, mortgage, taxes, utilities, repairs, insurance)
15,000
24,450
Groceries: (food, household supplies, dining out)
10,500
17,115
Personal: (clothing, dry cleaning, personal care)
3,500
Automobile: (payments, maintenance, gas, commuting, insurance)
7,000
11,410
Un-reimbursed medical expenses and medical insurance payments
3,500
5,705
Insurance: (life, disability, accident, and umbrella) not paid by employer
3,000
4,890
Recreation: (vacation, clubs, subscriptions, theatre, books, etc.)
4,500
7,335
Gifts to charity and others: (weddings, birthdays, holiday)
1,500
2,445
Interest on consumer loans and credit cards
3,000
4,890
Miscellaneous
6,000
9,780
Total
57,500
93,725
When we subtract my parents projected retirement expenses from their expected retirement income, we find we have a negative cash flow. This negative cash flow is our retirement cash flow deficit. Once we know what our retirement cash inflow deficit is, we can determine how much my parents need to save to make up the difference. Total expenses at the time of retirement would be $93,725. With only $43,800 in annual income, this leaves a shortfall of $49,925. One way to make up that shortfall would be to purchase an annuity using other assets. In our example, we added up retirement expenses, adjusted for inflation, and my parents anticipated Social Security and pension benefits, and we still need another $49,925 before taxes (retirement cash flow deficit). We estimate...
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