Briefing Note to Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper
Global Climate Change
The climate of Planet Earth is heating up, as we know through the empirical research conducted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) over the past twenty or more years. The work of IPCC, a branch of the United Nations, involves competent scientists from more than 190 nations and has led to series of comprehensive reports that clearly indicate the atmosphere is heating up and the planet is being negatively affected.
To wit, the signs are very obvious, not just in scientific studies, but in some cases to the naked eye: the polar ice caps are shrinking; the sea levels are rising; air temperatures are rising; temperatures of sea water are rising (when water becomes warmer, water expands, which explains some of the rise of sea levels); permafrost is shrinking, including in the northern territories of Canada; because ice floes north of Canada are melting, the natural habitat of the iconic Polar Bear is disappearing and the future of this great animal is in doubt because they are drowning and have to swim much longer distances to find food; and a recent study by the IPCC indicates that about "20 to 30% of plant and animal species… are likely to be at increased risk of extinction" if the global temperatures continue to rise.
There is no argument that can made any longer that can cast doubt on the fact of global climate change. Moreover, evidence discovered and collaborated through redundant research points the finger at human activities as the main contributor to climate change.
The question for the government of Canada -- and governments throughout the world -- is not, do you believe the climate is changing, but rather, what should the government be doing to address this issue? I thank you at the outset for your consideration of the positions and points presented in this briefing note.
What Should Canada Do -- And Why -- To Confront Climate Change Threats?
Environment Canada produced a lengthy report in July, 2011, called "Canada's Emissions Trends," and in the report the authors offer some common sense suggestions for your government. The report utilized information from industry sources, and the authors presented several federal government departments with the modeling results of their research in the Fall of 2010, asking those in pivotal government professions to provide input and suggestions.
Environment Canada (EC) reports that the government of Canada signed the Copenhagen Accord in December, 2009, and at that time Canada committed to reducing greenhouse (GHG) emissions to 607 Megatonnes (MT) in 2020, or 17% below 2005 levels (EC). In 2005, Canada's total GHG emissions were 731 MT, about 2% of the world's GHG emissions, according to EC's data. However, employing only existing measures, Canada will not reach its goal; in fact at the present rate of reducing emissions from Canada's transportation sector the GHG emissions will only be reduced by 65 MT, or one quarter of what Canada agreed to achieve through the implementation of preventative policies in 2020, the EC report asserts. The goal Canada pledged to shoot for is to have a target level of 607 MT.
In other words, to begin with, Canada needs to do more to reduce its GHG emissions. It will take strong political will for you to come to terms with some of the environmental realities facing Canada, but it is my belief that when you do make a broader commitment to reduce GHG emissions, it will be of great benefit to the nation, to our people and to our extraordinarily rich natural world resources -- wildlife, forests, the tundra, rivers and lakes -- that we are blessed with. Moreover, I firmly believe it will bolster your political position as a prime minister.
Why do I believe your stature as a strong political leader will be enhanced when you take positive steps to reduce GHG emissions? Political leaders pay attention to reliable polling results and I know that public opinion matters a great deal to you.
To wit, recent polls by dependable agencies reflect the concern the Canadians have for their environment, and in particular for global climate change. For example a March, 2011 survey by the Public Policy Forum and Sustainable Prosperity shows that "four in five Canadians believe that climate change is occurring" (Scolnick, 2011). The survey also reflects that "…around 80% of [Canadians] trust climate science," and this includes...
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