The people who opt for early retirement stop staring contribution to pension system where as they start getting the benefits of pension system. (Prieto, 1997)
The traditional unfunded social security system is facing lot of problems in the United States and other developing countries with the increasing life expectancy of the people. The cost of providing any level of service is directly linked to the percentage of people who are employed against people who have already retired and enjoying pension in a pay-as-you-go system. The problem is continuing and increasing with people's move towards early retirement which is encouraged in many countries social security system. Even in the event of retirement being stabilized, the steep increase in the ratio of the aged against that of working age is contributing to the substantial raise in the cost of pay-as-you-go system. The United States estimators, who work for social security system, forecast an increase from current 12% of covered payroll taxes to 17% for cost of providing the benefits covered under the social security system. This is estimated to be 20% by 2070. (Campbell; Feldstein, 2001)
In pay-as-you-go system, taxpayers pay high cost to obtain any given benefit which demonstrates the comparative low rate of return the contributors earn on taxes paid by them in an unfunded system. Only the growth in the base tax rate is the implied rate of return on taxes payers' contribution in an unfunded system as shown in 1958 by Paul Samuelson in one of his famous papers. In U.S. system the tax is based on the cash wages which is the mode of finance and the future total growth in cash wages is the factor which determines the rate of return. The assumption that the future reduction in population growth rate will limit the implied real rate of return to less than 2% per annum is the only factor based on which the social security estimators estimate the future required tax rate increase. In spite of U.S. social security system being a pay-as-you-go module, where in the every current year, the total tax collection is used for paying benefits of retirees who are already enjoying retirement benefits; there is still an investment in government bonds in the form of a trust fund. (Campbell; Feldstein, 2001)
The overall rate of return the contributors get on the taxes they contribute and the funds available to pay the annual benefits is affected by the rate of return on the trust fund invested in government bonds. But since these interests are just a transfer within two government accounts this has no substantial economic contribution, though they can contribute to raise the return on payroll tax payment at the expense of income tax payments. Overall rate of return that participants get on their social taxes are very little influenced by the overall return on trust fund since the trust fund is very small, comprising just two years worth of benefits and not even up to 10% of current total obligations under the social security system. The actual rate of return is determined by the growth and in effect the system effectively operates on a pay-as-you-go basis. (Campbell; Feldstein, 2001)
The pay-as-you-go system costs are increasing and there are three simple ways to control these increase in costs under this system which are reduction in benefits, increase in taxes and pre-funding. These methods can be used together or individually to control the increasing costs under pay-as-you-go system. Some experts are of the opinion that by cutting the future benefits, the raise in future tax can be controlled. The changes should be to the existing structure of social security benefits with a move towards more fundamental shifts from the existing structure of social security system to a uniform benefit structure such as increase in retirement age and modification to the post retirement inflation adjustment. Some other experts are of the view to continue with the same benefit by increasing the tax rate significantly in the future. (Campbell; Feldstein, 2001)
However since both these measures of large tax rate increase or major reduction in benefits does not go well with politicians, the idea of pre-funding future benefits by keeping aside resources now and investing those set aside funds together or on individual accounts is not encouraged. The common feature of pre-funding is that of increase in national saving resulting in increase in national capital stock though the pre-funding proposals have many variations. Future retirement consumptions are financed by the increased national capital stock resulted from...
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