So too does the modest recovery of a portion of oil value in the first half of 2009, which saw a more consistent gain in cost due to the shifting impact of the American dollar and the Euro. As a recent report from the Dow Jones Newswires denotes, "Oil gained some ground earlier, propped up by a weaker dollar, after a report showing that consumer confidence was rising in Germany, raising hopes that the worst of the downturn had passed. A weak dollar pushes investors into commodities as a hedge against inflation." (Iacob, 1) As a result, today, the global oil price stands at just a few cents above $69 per barrel. (Bloomberg, 1)
The current condition of war and economy has, likewise, cast a shroud of haziness over the oil market. And the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has done its part to contend with the difficult uncertainty. As all indications seem to point to an economic recovery that will be both slower and more hindered than those that have followed previous recessions, OPEC has held tightly its strict limitations on the quantities of oil that it supplies to oil consuming nations such as the U.S. The intention, ostensibly, is to keep the price of oil relatively high, in spite of the multiplicity of factors that have extensively reduced the demand for oil. To begin with, the consumer demand for oil had been reduced by an unusually warm first quarter, whereby residents of the Northern Hemisphere found themselves less prone to the costly implementation of heating their homes throughout the winter. This circumstance was compounded by the drastic decline in air travel that inevitably followed September 11th. The reciprocating interdependence between the air industry and the oil industry ensured that any significant decline to one would translate into an obstacle for the other. And such has been the case for OPEC, which now finds itself, on top of dealing with these considerable difficulties, in a field with greater competition. OPEC's willingness to maintain degrees of exclusivity, in terms of supplying to and cooperating with consumer nations has, to date, provided it with an advantage in the ubiquitous battle for the precious and diminishing resource. But it is this very same intransigence that may provide OPEC with some troubles of its own. A greater willingness by non-OPEC, oil-exporting nations to participate in a more globalized marketplace has caused the organization to endure lost market share and lowered revenues. This is highlighted by recent emphasis on opening Gulf of Mexico exploitation opportunities for the United States.
As a result, OPEC has taken an approach of relative economic defensiveness, angling to protect the pricing integrity of their product. Refusing to increase supply in an effort to, perhaps, rectify OPEC's slumping market competitiveness, the member nations hope simply to maintain a stasis on pricing. So would this be the decision rendered by the 153rd OPEC Conference Meeting held on May 28th, 2009. Here, based on the perception that economic recovery will likely be slow and uncertain, OPEC declared that it had "decided to maintain current production levels unchanged for the time being. In taking this decision, member countries reiterated their firm commitment to the individually agreed production allocations, as well as their readiness to respond swiftly to any developments which might place oil market stability and their interests in jeopardy." (Vasconcelos, 1)
In effect, the dichotomy of drastically reduced consumer confidence and OPEC's evident approach to protecting its market interests are predominantly resultant...
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