Tsunami Numerical Modeling
Tsunami Modeling
Tsunamis, along with other massive natural disaster events such as earthquakes, hurricanes and so forth, represent one of the most (if not the most) destructive natural disaster event that has occurred in the past or that could occur in the future. They typically coincide with earthquakes in a given area but accurately predicting and projecting when they will occur, when they will not occur and the methods of predicting both has become a fairly chaotic and fickle endeavor. However, the use of computer and numerical-based modeling has represented a shift in that it can more accurately predict what will or will not occur when earthquakes and other conditions relative to tsunamis occur and avail themselves to geologists, oceanic experts and other scientists that are the least bit involved in predicting tsunamis and warning the populace around the world about the same. After explaining the data sources and methods, this repot will cover how to predict and account for damage scenarios, the areas of the world that tsunamis typically occur in, what happens when tsunamis make landfall, what patterns have become clear over time, what areas are more vulnerable than others, and particular tsunami events in the past, mostly in the 1950's, that have illuminated the subject quite effectively.
Materials & Methods
The materials and methods to be used for this brief literature review, methodology and results/discussion treatise are fairly basic. Of course, the main topic at hand is tsunami and the "drill down" on the subject has been and will be on how numerical models can be used to explain why things happened a certain way in the past and how that data can be used to predict similar events or close calls in the future. The materials used include ten different professional or peer-reviewed journals that relate specifically to modelling of tsunami prediction and handling, historical analysis, future predictions or a combination of the three. After assessing the ten sources, there will be a synthesis of what was reviewed and the relevant points that can or perhaps should be captured from the material.
Results
Tsunami modeling of any sort, numerical or otherwise, is not remotely an exact science yet but the hotspots and the amount of warning time involved is fairly clear. One such hotspot can be found in the eastern Corinth Gulf along the Perachora Fault in the area of Greece, the same area just mentioned in the prior paragraph (Tselentis et al., 2006). Further, the "hotspots" in question have been so for many centuries or even multiple millennia. For example, it is commonly held that the Greece area has been a hotbed of tsunamis for more than 3,500 years. While the…
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