Business -- Corporate Finance - Net Present Value - Mergers & Acquisitions, Parts 1 &
Google, Inc. is analyzing the possible added value of a project initially costing $1,750,000.00 Calculating the net cash flows for 5 years, the 15% cost of capital, the present value of cash flow for 5 years and the net present value all allow the reviewer to determine the added value that might encourage the company to pursue this project. Even as Google, Inc. is advised to pursue this project, its shareholders are advised against the acquisition of Groupon, as the downsides and risks considerably outweigh the possible advantages of acquisition. In contrast, Groupon shareholders should seek the acquisition based on the balance of advantages and disadvantages that such an acquisition would pose for them.
B. Body
Capital Budgeting Decision for Google Shareholders and Executives.
I recommend that the executives and shareholders of Google pursue the new project. The advisability of pursuing the project will rest in part on whether it would add value to the shareholders. In order to determine whether value would be added, we must determine the proposed acquisition's annual present value of cash inflow for the projected period of 5 years, totaling the net present value, as the Net Present Value is the difference between the total present value of annual cash inflows and the total present value of annual cash outflows for the anticipated 5-year period. These figures have been calculated in my following table:
Year
Net Cash Inflow
Present value of $1 at 14% (Brealey, Myers, & Allen, 2005)
Present value of cash inflow
1
$350,000.00
.877
$306,950.00
2
$630,000.00
.769
$484,470.00
3
$700,000.00
.675
$472,500.00
4
$550,000.00
.592
$325,600.00
5
$850,000.00
.519
$441,150.00
Net Present Value $2,030,670.00
Narratively, the process is explained as follows. Google's net cash flow is: year 1 = $350,000.00; year 2 = $630,000.00; year 3 = $700,000.00; year 4 = $550,000.00; and year 5 = $850,000.00. Google's cost of capital is 14%, resulting in figures of: year 1 = .877; year 2 = .769; year 3 = .675; year 4 = .592; and year 5 = .519. To arrive at the present net value for each year, we multiply each year's net cash flow by its present value of 14%, resulting in: year 1 = $306,950.00; year 2 = $484,470.00; year 3 = $472,500.00; year 4 = $325,600.00; and year 5 = $441,150.00. The total of those present net values for each year is $2,030,670.00.
After determining present net value, the added value is determined. Since the new project will cost $1,750,000.00 in initial cash outflow, that figure is subtracted from the net present value to determine whether and to what extent the project would add value to stockholders. The present net value ($2,030,670.00) minus the initial cash flow ($1,750,000.00) means added value of $280,670.00, which makes the proposed project desirable to stockholders and management.
2) Part 2 -- Recommendations to the Shareholders of Google and Groupon
After reviewing the financial aspects and other resources of both companies, I would recommend against the acquisition for Google shareholders but for the acquisition by Groupon shareholders. Google shareholders have potentially little to gain and more to lose. Positively, acquisition of Groupon would mean: gains of Google's market share, efficiency and synergy in the daily online coupon business (Gaughan, Mergers, aquisitions and corporate restructurings, 2011, pp. 132-4), as Groupon already has a following and value in its core daily business (Lachapelle, 2012); a possible all-cash purchase of the considerably smaller Groupon with no share of Google stock with Groupon shareholders (McClure, Mergers and acquisitions: Definition, 2009); acquisition of the considerably smaller Groupon will allow Google to make a relatively simple cash or cash/stock acquisition while continuing to carry out its day-to-day business (McClure, Mergers and acquisitions: Why they can fail, 2009); Groupon has already shown a glimmer of viable competition with the online retailer, Amazon, and Google might be able to develop that glimmer into a lucrative inroad in online retail sales (Lachapelle, 2012). Consequently, the possible gains from acquiring Groupon cannot be denied.
Despite these anticipated gains, Google faces considerable "downsides" and risks by acquiring Groupon. Groupon will probably be purchased at a premium of $3 - $6 billion, even as Groupon's market share and value are sinking (Yahoo! Finance, 2013). Another downside would be the considerable "customer fatigue," as the enticement of daily online deals is already noticeably wearing off for consumers (Lachapelle, 2012). Furthermore, there is considerable risk that their two separate corporate cultures will not allow Google to readily...
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