Not to take anything away from Mattel's products, but the population of the world and its wealth have increased substantially since 1945. The company now stands to benefit from a surge in growth as the baby boom echo generation enters child-bearing age. This massive demographic will likely have a lot of children as well, giving Mattel a chance for strong demographic growth in the North American market. The company grew strongly during the baby boom years, and now their grandchildren are the next major wave of potential consumers.
There are a number of threats that the company faces, however. Competition is a major threat, as it comes not only from other toymakers but from video games, computers and other electronic entertainment. Children raised on computers are now having kids, and they will be less likely to buy their children dolls and toy cars as a result, unless Mattel can convince them of the merits of doing so. This might create video game and mobile app opportunities, but they are not likely to replace the revenue associated with physical toys. Beyond this, the company relies heavily on its branding to distinguish its toys from the toys of cost leaders, companies that usually have no serious branding but sell at a fraction of Mattel's prices.
The economy is another threat. Mattel suffered a steep decline in sales during the recent recession, with a decline of 8.2% during the 2009 fiscal year. While it has recovered now, such declines are likely to occur in the event of future economic downturns. It is worth noting that the high degree of seasonality in Mattel's business (Form 10-K) means that the company could suffer strongly from a short-term downturn that happened to span the Christmas season.
Other key threats are with labor conditions, given that the company contracts out a lot of production to the developing world -- China, Southeast Asia and Mexico -- where labor laws are poor. The company would come under significant fire in particular if its toys were made with child labor, as occurred at one Indonesian supplier in the late 1990s (White, 1998). Lastly, the international business exposes the company to considerable foreign exchange rate risk that could affect the costs of the goods or the translation of foreign transactions to Mattel's balance sheet. With almost all production and half of the company's sales coming from outside of the U.S., this is a significant risk that the company must actively manage.
Domestic Implications
Mattel's best market is the United States, and this is where the company concentrates much of its activity. As noted, demographics are turning favorable in the domestic market, and this implies a significant opportunity for Mattel. The company must contend, however, with the forces of technological change and the threat posed by the sluggish recovery from the economic downturn.
From a marketing perspective, the company has strong products, but has not been able to make any major new product introductions in recent years. There is continual opportunity, however, due to consumer turnover and the emergence of new technologies and entertainment properties. However, the driver of domestic business at Mattel remains its core properties. Liu (2009) reports that intense competition and the threat of substitutes like video games have contributed to sluggishness in the Barbie brand. Yet, the brand does have sporadic success that the company can build on. For example, the Barbie brand recovered with a 17% increase in sales globally last year, and the company had strength across all of its brands, pointing to the enduring strength of the company's brands (Egan, 2011).
The most likely approach for Barbie is that the brand will continue to grow domestically. However, the company needs to do a couple of things to ensure that all of its brands continue to grow. Aggressive marketing is essential to keeping the product in the minds of consumers. While today's parents grew up with Barbie, Hot Wheels and Fischer-Price, they need to be reminded of this before they begin to buy their children electronic toys or those of competitors.
Another domestic implication is that Mattel needs to focus on innovation within its core products, in order to ensure that they are continuing to be relevant to new children. The brands have seen periods of flat sales when innovation has slowed, so it is imperative that brand extensions be frequent and always in tune with the tastes of the current generation of children.
In addition, Mattel has had significant success with its licensing arrangements, particular its deals with Disney, the WWE and the owners of Batman. The company...
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