These guidelines were originally created in 1988 under the Basel Accord, or Basel I, which was created by the Basel Committee, which is a group of international central bankers (Dowd, Hutchinson, & Hinchliffe, 2011). More recently, Basel III has been introduced and is set to be implemented by member countries, which includes the United States, on January 1, 2013 (Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision announces higher global minimum capital standards, 2010). Basel III will increase the common equity requirement to a total of 7%, the "Tier 1 capital requirement, which includes common equity and other qualifying financial instruments based on stricter criteria, will increase from 4% to 6% over the same period" and "A countercyclical buffer within a range of 0% - 2.5% of common equity or other fully loss absorbing capital will be implemented according to national circumstances" (Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision announces higher global minimum capital standards, 2010).
Basel III also does something in regard to Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO). Most banks utilized Special Investment Vehicles or other off -- balance sheets conduits, to move the CDOs from their balance sheet. In Basel III it was found that "off-balance-sheet risks cannot and should not be analysed [sic] separately from the risks arising from on-balance-sheet business, but should be regarded as an integral part of banks' overall risk profiles" (Basel Committee: The management of banks' off-balance-sheet exposures: a supervisory perspective ). This basically translates to higher information requirements about the underlying risk and, depending on the information or if it is not provided, there will be a higher capital requirement for these asset backed securities (Proposed enhancements to the Basel II framework).
Economists Reinhart and Rogoff completed a GDP study based on two hundred years of data, different countries and circumstances in 2010 (Reinhart & Rogoff, 2010). The study found that above the gross debt to GDP of 90% "median growth rates fall by 1%, and average growth falls considerably more" and it was found that the French have a higher than expected inflation when the debt to GDP ratio is high (Reinhart & Rogoff, 2010). As of May 2011, economic growth has slowed to 1.8% and inflation is currently 3.1% (Arends, 2011).
The an economic body that represents more than thirty countries, and the Institute of International Finance (IIF), a global association of commercial and investment banks, have both made predictions on the effect of Basel III on the GDP. The OECD predicted that the new requirements would decrease the Frances GDP "by .07% per year between 2011 and 2019, while the IIF estimated a higher "0.5% per year between 2011 and 2015" (Vaughan, 2010).
At this point, prior to any change in capital requirements, France is facing a probably further decrease in the GDP with growing inflation due to the growing deficit. The...
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