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Forecasting Is The Process Of Using Data Essay

Forecasting is the process of using data from previous intervals to determine future data. Meteorologists use data from previous weather events to predict future weather patterns. In a similar way, sales can help to predict future inventory stocking needs by accumulated data from previous years. The first step in the process is to create an index for each month by dividing the current month by the index (or first) month. For example, month one of the first year is equal to 55,200. Month one of the second year is equal to 39,800. Dividing the second year by the first year gives an index result of 0.721014. An index number smaller than one indicates a decrease in the number from the first year to the second, and an index number greater than one shows an increase from one year to the next. The following chart shows the resulting index for each month.

By using linear regression, the plot yields a solvable slope intercept formula to determine future inventory needs.
The resulting formula, y = 0.203x + 0.403, can be extrapolated to find the index for the fourth year using x = 4.…

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