¶ … Rewarding Work: How to Restore Participating and Self-Support to Free Enterprise (Harvard University Press, 197), economist Edmund Phelps offers this plan to help the working poor: apply tax credits for "qualified employers" or hire disadvantaged people for "eligible jobs." Evaluate this plan in terms of market incentives, one of the ten principles of economics, to work and current welfare programs. Is the Phelps' plan an improvement over current government policies? Discuss.
Lowering a company's tax bill will generally always be effective in causing them to invest more money in expanding which usually means more hiring. However, it is not a panacea, as the recent economic incentives have proven. As of late, firms have received a number of tax cuts but there has also been the passing of the Dodd Frank financial reform bill as well as ObamaCare, both of which (ObamaCare in particular) is clearly making employers cool to hire regular full time workers. Instead, employers are hiring part time works who work less than 30 hours a week so as to avoid mandated eligibility for benefits and/or a fine for not offering the benefits despite the 30+ hours threshold being met.
As for offering incentives specifically for disadvantaged workers, there is a difference between offering a helping hand and enabling bad behavior. An unfortunate truth of welfare, unemployment benefits and other assistance is that people will stretch out the benefits and use them as a means to active avoid finding work that is enough to pay the bills. While cat-calls may ensue at this claim, it's beyond doubt with behaviors of some workers, but certainly not all. An example would be the recent trend of people exhausting their 99 weeks of unemployment turning around and applying for Social Security Disability benefits. It begs the question why they were not already in the Social Security Disability system and whether they are applying because they actually have a disability or whether they are simply trying to extend their work holiday.
In short, the commonly held methods of incentivizing workers to work and employers to hire are not always as simple as they may seem. A better yardstick is to look at the climate that is created by the government's tone towards business and mistaking compassion for employees with encouraging bad behavior. It is impossible to find a solution that works across the board but it can also be assessed quite clearly when the incentives to hire are being outweighed by concerns about excessive taxation, excessive regulation and so forth. Allowing a free-for-all by employers including lax regulation and non-existent taxation is not a good idea but neither is actively discouraging them from hiring and then scolding them for reacting based on their increasing or potentially increasing benefit costs, labor costs or tax costs.
For incentives to work, there has to be a predictability to the proverbial playing field and that sort of foresight is clearly not present given the current threats and/or plans of more spending, higher taxes, more employer regulation/taxes, etc. The Clinton Administration raised taxes in the mid-1990's but they then stepped back and let the economy do its thing and the economy boomed in the late 1990's. It is true there was a tech bubble that burst soon thereafter, but economic growth was very strong despite the fact that the federal government's power structure, not unlike now, was split between Democrats and Republicans basically from 1994 onward. Much the same thing happened in 2003 when the Bush Tax Cuts took effect and remained the law of the land for the next five years or so until the housing market crashed. The taxes and regulation landscape was predictable and steady, so the tax cuts were effective. If what is going on now was going on then, the reaction would probably match what has been happening since 2009…growth but only in an anemic and uneven fashion. In the 2000's, unemployment topped out at 6% or so and then dived down into the sub-5% range. However, unemployment hasn't been below 7% for years now and the recession supposedly ended four years ago.
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