Origins of the Modern World
The old biological regime describes the way people made their livelihoods and achieved their status through their interactions with the land. In the 1400s, the global population was about 350 million people, 80% of whom were peasants. Consider that that figure represents about six percent of the current global population of about 6 billion people. In the years between 1400 and 1800, the population doubled, reaching about 720 to 750 million people. With so many people dependent on farming to make a living, producing crops for subsistence and selling the agricultural surplus to people who were non-agricultural, growth was constrained. The amount of arable land that was available determined the productivity of the land, with both factors working in tandem to influence population size. The people living on the land adapted to their environment, with population growth serving as an indicator of adaptive success. The degree of intensification that could be accomplished was a function of the carrying capacity of the land. One difficulty is that as the population grows, and is taken to mean that people have successfully adapted to their dependence on the attributes of the land they inhabit, the population can increase so much or so fast that the land and the systems that enable people to benefit from the land are overwhelmed. At some point, the demands of the population cross over the capacity of the land to meet the collective demands.
One critical way that the demands of a population impact the capacity of the land to meet their demands is climate change. The pre-modern population increased around the world and industrialization altered the way huge masses of people made their livings. New and more efficient methods of transportation enabled global trade networks to be established. New food crops and trade in agricultural commodities were also part of these changes, which made different types of demands on the land, such as irrigation systems, concentrations of single types of crops which increased vulnerability to plant diseases.
Population patterns of density and dispersal are integral to concepts related to adaptability. In the 1400s, the most densely populated areas corresponded to civilizations that are considered to be the most highly developed -- about 15 specific civilizations / areas are recognized in this group. Because of the favorable attributes of particular regions of dry land mass, the population in the 1400s clustered on about seven percent of the land, or 4.25 million square miles out of the total 60 million. Intriguingly, 70% of the 2003 global population still inhabit the same seven percent of the land. Indeed, the most densely populated population centers were and are China, at 25 to 40% of the global population, Europe, at 25% of the global population, and India, at 20% of the global population.
The congregation of populations in disparate regions conditioned the opportunity for the development of a trading system. The systems that characterized the post-1500s arose out of the old system; indeed, specialization such as that which developed from new agricultural crops and methods were associated with increased productivity and population growth. Similarly, marked inequality was shaped by factors such as access to and control of water, geography and negotiated egress, and tribal affiliations and territorialism. Three dominant trade systems developed that established linkage and overlap driven fundamentally by the population clusters and the influence of natural trade routes. North and West Africa linked with the Middle East and European systems; East Africa linked with the East Asia system. The Middle East is known as the Mongolian subsystem and includes central Asia, India, and the links the eastern Mediterranean with Eurasia. The European subsystem consisted of the core areas of the Italian city-states. The East Asia subsystem included China, equatorial Southeast Asia, and the Indonesia and Malaysia, which were known as the Spice Islands.
Three primary trade routes developed to facilitate exchanges between the markets of these subsystems. The northern trade route was known as the Silk Road. The central trade route went from Baghdad to the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean. The southern trade route went from Cairo to the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean.
The new intense trade relations that developed from these early trade routes were part of three substantive developments that ushered in the new world of 1500 to 1775. Access to goods through trade and to raw materials through conquest supported the continued growth and vitality of empires. Sovereign states grew during this period and interstate war occurred in Europe. Competition (mercantilism) heated up and national economic development was favored in Europe. These factors played strongly in the emergence of the future global political order.
Compared to Asia, during the period from 1500 to 1800, Europe experienced a substantial competitive disadvantage. European regions suffered...
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