Coca-Cola Company ("Coca-Cola," "Coke") is a U.S.-based manufacturer and distributor of non-alcoholic beverage. The company recorded revenue of $46.5 billion in FY2011, and earned $8.5 billion in net income. According to the company's website, it sells products in over 200 countries, given the company near-global scope. This also ensures that Coca-Cola has substantial exposure to foreign currencies. This report will discuss a number of international financial aspects to Coca-Cola's business, including foreign currency risk and capital structure.
As Coca-Cola operates in just about every country in the world, there are a very few options for international expansion. The company's Mexican subsidiary is already exporting to Cuba, circumventing Helms-Burton. However, there remains one country where one cannot currently buy a Coca-Cola product, and that is the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), or North Korea (Hebblethwaite, 2012). There is increasing wealth in that country, however, as the result of Chinese investment. While the average North Korean cannot afford Coca-Cola, there is a class of party insiders who can. This opportunity can be exploited from Coca-Cola's Chinese subsidiary.
Foreign Currency Exchange Risk
Coca-Cola's sales are divided evenly throughout the world. The largest geographic region is Latin America, at 29%, followed by North America at 22%. "Pacific," including China, Japan, Philippines, and Australia, accounts for 18% of sales; Eurasia and Africa (including India, Turkey, South Africa and Russia) accounts for 16% and Europe accounts for 15%. The company has extensive programs to deal with foreign currency exchange rate risk. In many countries, the local currency is not worth the paper on which it is printed, and is not exchangeable anywhere outside of that country.
The North Korean currency is called the North Korean won and this is not exchangeable anywhere outside of the country. While the currency is officially pegged to the dollar, the unofficial rate is highly volatile and subject to significant inflation. Changing wons into other currencies is difficult. Money earned in the North Korean market might not be able to leave the county, and if it does it would do so in the form of Chinese yuan most likely, though U.S. dollars, euros and Japanese yen are sometimes also taken. The use of foreign currencies is common at venues that cater to foreigners and the country's elite, the same people that would comprise the target market for Coca-Cola in North Korea.
Thus, the foreign exchange rate risk is not much different from a strictly monetary standpoint than it would be in China. Given that the market entry is going to be conducted using a Chinese subsidiary, Coke would likely leave that money in China. Thus, the predominant risk likes with changing from dollars, euros and yen into yuan, rather than in any dealing with the North Korean won.
There are a couple of different approaches to managing currency exchange rate risk. The first is to leave the position unhedged. There is a case to be made in favor of this, especially since the Chinese yuan is involved. Hedging the yuan is difficult because of the lack of international markets in that currency. Also, hedging the yuan might be redundant because of the soft peg that currency has to the dollar. In addition, the total amount in the North Korean market is not expected to be significant relative to the size of the Chinese, European or Japanese markets. Therefore, the amount in question may not be large enough to see benefit from hedging. The total size of the target market is quite small, and would amount to not much more than the equivalent of a small city in China, something that Coke might not worry about hedging. In addition, the use of multiple currencies makes it more difficult for Coke to effectively hedge any one currency as a result of entry into the North Korean market.
The other approach to hedging the company's exposure in the North Korean market is to set up hedges in each of the different currencies it might expect to receive. This could be euros, since the soft dollar peg of the yuan makes that currency less volatile in general, leaving the euro as the most important currency in use in North Korea that is entirely unhedged. A hedge could mitigate the fluctuations in the Euro, although such fluctuations specific to the North Korean market are not likely to be significant given the broad usage base of the euro.
If the company thought it was worthwhile...
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