Besides the problems listed previously that can affect the development of the economy as a sustainable economy, the simple fact that China has been developing at this rate for over 20 years is a reason enough to believe it cannot sustain a similar growth over the next 20. There were extraordinary circumstances that have led to this growth, besides the introduction of different reforms that stimulated the economy.
Businesses and different countries suddenly became interested in such a huge market such as the Chinese one and foreign investments soared in these decades. The reason for which they are still growing is that the Chinese economy is still extraordinarily attractive and has still a lot to show for. However, we can expect a certain point in time when, despite being still a growing economy, it will fail to attract the capital it is attracting now, this being reoriented to other areas of the globe. This does not necessarily mean that the Chinese economy will crumble. As a sustainable economy, it will be able to manage on lower growth rates and will concentrate on consolidation rather than on fast expansion.
So, following through on this idea, it is less likely that something will happen, economically or politically, if the growth rate drops. In my opinion, the main challenges that the Chinese government is facing are related to the economic growth in itself and the consequences that this produces, such as income inequality. A drop in the growth rate will most likely lead to a slow and desired process of consolidation and a new direction from the government in this sense.
It will not have any political reverberations, especially if we look at the fact that politics are still strongly in the hand of the Chinese Communist Party, despite the economic liberalization, and to the fact that these are not necessarily interconnected.
As we have seen in this project, the Chinese economy has sustained an economic growth of around 10% over the last 20 years. This was due to governmental reforms that encouraged private initiative, the creation of privately owned economic entities and the attraction of foreign capital, to the fact that the opening of the Chinese economy brought a new attractive investing destination and to the fact that the Chinese GDP was at a significantly low level when the liberalization process in economy began, at the end of the 1970s.
While this rate of growth is likely to continue to grow over the next 20 years, it is less likely that it will be able to grow at a similar speed, because the economy will become more mature and less capable of absorbing capital to the degree to which it has over this past period of time. The rhythm of growth will most likely decrease as the government will...
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