Impact of globalization on US jobs
One can certainly debate when globalization began in the United States. Was it when millions of slaves were imported from Africa? Was it during the Spanish-American war when the US sowed the seeds of a colonial empire, that, ultimately, never went far. Was it when the US signed the first free trade act with Canada in 1987. That was probably the most reasonable starting point for the purposes of this paper, because this paper places emphasis on labor market impacts.
The unemployment rate in the United States in October, 1987, when that act was signed, was 6.0%. When NAFTA came into force January 1st, 1994, the unemployment rate in the United States was 6.6%. Today, it is 4.1% (BLS.gov, 2017). Now, these outright facts aren't everything in terms of the debate about free trade's impacts on American workers, but they make the point quite clearly that any story being told isn't about the availability of jobs.
So what is the debate about? Labor leaders say it is about labor. AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka (2011) points out that globalization has transformed labor markets around the world, and the United States is certainly no exception. There are several key forces that drive globalization – these include but are not limited to technological improvements in logistics that reduce barriers to the flow of goods, trade agreements to lower trade barriers, and technology that seeks to improve communications. Some of these are organic developments, but some are not. Trumka argues that the elements of globalization that are negotiated – i.e. trade agreements – lack protections for workers. While capital and goods can move freely in an open market, workers cannot. And in many countries, workers lack basic legal protections, include the right to organize. Workers are seldom given a seat at the table in these negotiations. When labor cannot move as freely as capital or goods, that creates a situation where labor needs stronger protections, or otherwise it will be subject to exploitation. But are the forces of globalization to blame, or is there deliberate action at the national level that has undermined organized labor? Arguably more the latter – if your case study is the US, look to the Republican Party, starting with Reagan and the air traffic controllers as the source of reduced union rights, reduced union membership and reduced union political power. Indeed, Vachon and Wallace (2013) do make the point that "political climate variables are strong determinants of union density", and their findings are stronger for that variable than for their concept of globalization.
Trumka's conclusion that the working people of the world should be given voice is salient, but he is less convincing in arguing that this is at the globalization level – look to the national level to see where workers are getting a tough ride, because they aren't getting that same tough ride in Europe. Don't blame the rest of the world for the struggles of America's workers – that's a homegrown problem. Vachon and Wallace (2013) point out that union membership peaked in 1954, decades before any semblance of modern globalization – are we really going to blame a 30-year-old phenomenon for a 60-year-old trend?
NAFTA and the US
Does NAFTA harm the US? Good question. We've seen that the unemployment rate has dropped. So it's not in the number of jobs. We know that stock markets are way up, so it's nothing to do with the health of American corporations The economy has struggled, but that's more Gramm-Leach-Billey than NAFTA. Real wages have gone nowhere, but they haven't gone anywhere since Reagan. This really calls into question who the enemy actually is here. The negative trends seen in union membership and real wages predate NAFTA by years if not decades. Economic measures have improved since NAFTA. Indeed, the economic trendline was well ahead before the financial crisis, and that crisis was related to changes in financial legislation, not NAFTA.
Feng, Hu & Li (2013) make a further good point. They rightly note that the rise of China is a trade-related factor in shifting labor markets. It's basic math, really. Canada cannot shift US labor markets. Mexico can make something of an impact, but not to suppress real wage growth for twenty-three years. But larger global forces, and the entrance...
References
Bergh, A. & Nilsson, T. (2014) Is globalization reducing absolute poverty? World Development. Vol. 62 ( C ) 42.61.
BLS.gov (2017). Home page. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Retrieved November 4, 2017 from https://www.bls.gov/
Feng, L, Hu, W. & Li, Z. (2013). The effects of globalization on the US labour market: Service sectors considered. The World Economy.
Trumka, R. (2011) A global new deal. Harvard International Review. Summer 2011, in possession of the author.
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