Capital One
There are a number of risks facing Capital One in the near future. As a financial institution, Capital One faces interest rate risk, in particular given the possibility of a perpetually low interest rate environment (2011 Annual Report, p.2).
There is also the risk that economic recovery will not be strong, given the dependency of Capital One on consumer spending, in particular the rise of consumer debt (2011 Annual Report, p.18). There are also significant risks in the regulatory environment, as banking is a heavily-regulated industry and there are a number of changes proposed to the regulatory environment (p.20).
The company has a number of strategies to mitigate these risks. It addresses interest rate risk by utilizing different financial assets, including different brands and sources of capital, to lower its cost of capital. Geographic diversification also helps to mitigate economic risk, although the company does still have concentration in a handful of U.S. markets, its national portfolio plus businesses in the UK and Canada help mitigate American economic conditions. Lastly, the bank addresses the regulatory environment proactively through lobbying but also through compliance efforts to ensure that it conforms with all established and emerging regulatory standards.
2. Using the five-year stock price chart from MSN Moneycentral and mid-November as the relevant time period, the five-year stock price table for Capital One is as follows:
Price
Change
2012
55.70
+32.3%
2011
42.07
+6.0%
2010
39.69
-0.5%
2009
39.89
+37.22%
2008
29.07
The average price over this period is $41.44. The average return is +18.76%. The standard deviation of returns is 17.65%. These figures were calculated on Excel.
3. The formula for the capital asset pricing model is as follows:
Ra = Rf + ?(Rm-Rf)
The beta for Capital One is 1.71. The risk free rate is 1.57%. Thus, the cost of equity for Capital One is:
Ra = 1.57 + (1.71)(10.5-1.57) = 16.84%
Works Cited:
MSN Moneycentral. (2012). Capital One. Retrieved November 17, 2012 from http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/stock-income-statement/?symbol=COF
Capital One 2011 Annual Report. Retrieved November 17, 2012 from http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=70667&p=irol-reportsannual
Investopedia. (2012). Capital asset pricing model. Investopedia. Retrieved November 17, 2012 from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capm.asp#axzz2CQKKm1WP
International Position Capital One has a good position in the Canadian and British markets. The international credit card business accounts for 11.3% of total revenue in the credit card operating segment (2009 Capital One Annual Report). Capital One does not have retail banking in Canada but does have it in the UK, although that part of the business is relatively minor. In credit cards, the UK business declined 14.6% in 2009
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