Counterinsurgency
The best counterinsurgency (COIN) tactics are those that do not require armed responses. History and current global conditions suggest that for the most part governmental troops are simply not very good at suppressing the forces for change that challenge, peacefully or otherwise. But knowing what doesn't work is not the same as understanding how to put into practice what does. And there is a growing body of evidence that suggests that this issue will become even more difficult in the future as populous confrontations become less monolithic and national in scope and pick up their own armaments of support from global frustrations and jihadists calls for fidelity.
One of the better demonstrations of this problem can be seen in a 2005 piece by Sepp, a DoD analyst.[footnoteRef:1] He identifies an estimated 53 incidents across recent history and looks at the characteristics of the confrontation, over and above who won the battle, to see what has been proven effective and what has not worked. But before reviewing these specifics, it's worth restating a concern his included upfront: "The focus of all civil and military plans and operations must be on the center of gravity in any conflict -- the country's people and their belief in and support of their government. Winning their hearts and minds must be the objective of the government's efforts." [footnoteRef:2] [1: K. Sepp. Best Practices in Counterinsurgency. Military Review. May-June 2005.] [2: Ibid, pg. 9.]
The unsuccessful elements convey as similar image of the limitations of military tactics. Those that do not work include those that emphasize the primacy of military direction; that use "kill-capture" methods; that require battalion-size operations or large bases; that deploy raids by specialty forces; or that try to build local forces in the image of the U.S. military. Sepp does say that peacetime government processes and open borders or uncontrolled air space don't work either, since perhaps the public may not participate or may run from volatile government.
But it is not just the U.S. military that is problematic. A 2008 study…
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