Indeed, if these economies had not brought their technological status up to that of other modern economies, they would not have been able to grow the way they did.
However, in accumulation theory, technology is not responsible for any unusual improvement in efficiency. It is an ancillary to the economic growth, rather than a key driver. Assimilation theory, on the other hand, assumes that technological innovation equates to improvements in productivity. The increase in capital inputs that drives success under accumulation theory works because it was spent on improving technology.
One of the key differences between the two theories is that assimilation theory leads to the conclusion that robust economic growth is both sustainable and replicable, whereas in accumulation theory the growth in only replicable, but not sustainable.
Krugman puts it bluntly when he states the following, regarding the case of Singapore: "Over the past generation the percentage of people employed has almost doubled; it cannot double again. A half-educated workforce has been replaced by one in which the bulk of workers has a high school diploma; it is unlikely that a generation from now most Singaporeans will have Ph.D.s. And an investment share of 40% is amazingly high by any standard; a share of 70% would be ridiculous. So one can immediately conclude that Singapore is unlikely to achieve growth rates comparable to those of the past." (71).
One can object to some of the logic here, in that there is still a significant room for improvement in a country where only two-thirds of the workforce has a diploma, much less a degree, but the point is clear - the growth of the tigers is not sustainable.
Under assimilation theory, the main driver is not the improvement of capital inputs but rather is the assimilation of technology. Growth rates are thus dependent on the pace of technological innovation. The easy assumption is that here, too, growth rates are unsustainable simply for the fact that at the beginning of this type of economic transition the level of technology is so low.
It is important to remember, however, the process by which technological innovation takes place. It is incremental, and the result of hard work to move from one step to the next quickly. The economy expands on its previous body of knowledge in a cycle that is increasingly fast. This process does not stop...
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