Leasing Aircraft
The emergence of low cost carriers has marked a shift in the aircraft industry away from owning aircraft and towards leasing and subleasing of aircraft. National and legacy carriers have long struggled with profitability, and their business model is in part a reason for this. Low cost carriers have attempted to resolve the business issues of heavy debt burden and excess capacity by leasing aircraft rather than owning them. There are other advantages to aircraft leasing as well, including a reduction in maintenance costs. Aircraft leasing has become part of the low cost carrier business model. This paper will examine the issue of aircraft leasing, in particular with respect to the financial considerations. A conclusion will be drawn with respect to the leasing decision and whether or not it is recommended for airlines today.
Overview of the Industry
The aviation industry is one of the world's largest businesses, worth an estimated 7.5% of global GDP (Investec, 2010). Traditionally, airlines purchased aircraft, often with financing from the manufacturer. In 1994, only 18% of commercial aircraft were leased. Since that time, fueled by the rise of low cost carriers, leased aircraft now account for 40% of the global commercial aircraft fleet and this figure is expected to continue rising (Ibid). Lessors tend to be financial institutions, or subsidiaries thereof, and they enter the business because they can finance the aircraft at very low rates and then lease them out at rates that are profitable but still competitive for the airlines. Low cost carriers in particular became attracted to aircraft leases because they were unable to secure sufficient credit to purchase planes and expand rapidly enough to meet their business objectives. Low cost carriers soon identified other benefits of leasing as well.
The air travel industry is considered to be cyclical and has suffered two major demand-side shocks in the past ten years. The first came in the wake of the September 11th terrorist attacks in the United States; the second came in the wake of the global economic downturn. The industry is now growing again, lead by air travel in the Asia Pacific market, and the success of the Middle Eastern carriers. There is double the number of aircraft in the skies compared with 1990 (Investec, 2010). The low cost carrier model in particular is spreading around the world, with the concept being introduced in Southeast Asia, China, India and the Middle East. This has fueled growth in leasing. It is expected that in 2011 there will be over 7200 leased planes. There are even indications that legacy carriers are increasing the amount of leased aircraft in their fleets, cognizant of the benefits of leasing (A.T. Kearney, 2011). There is also evidence that more companies are entering the leasing industry, and that aircraft leasing is becoming capitalized (Investec, 2010).
Benefits of Leasing
There are four main benefits to leasing aircraft instead of buying. They are financial liquidity, capacity flexibility, rapid expansion, fleet consistency and reduced maintenance costs. Financial liquidity has been critical for low cost carriers, but this benefit can accrue to any firm in the industry. Traditional aircraft purchases are typically financed with debt, and this reflects on the balance sheets of many airlines. These debt obligations are long-term. The airline then has to fill that capacity. The airline, however, is highly-leveraged and a very low portion of its earnings go towards profit. This leaves the airline with a low level of liquidity. It is also worth considering the main financial benefit of purchasing vis-a-vis leasing comes after the purchase is paid off. This takes upwards of twenty years. A net present value calculation would indicate that cash flows twenty years in the future are not worth much. In addition, the aircraft may not even be serviceable, or at least not efficiently so, at that point in time.
A related benefit is increased capacity flexibility. Leasing gives the airline greater ability to manage obligations on the airline's cash flow. When the industry experiences a demand shock, as happens fairly frequently including twice in the last ten years, most airlines lose money because they have to meet those obligations from their cash flow regardless of how much revenue they are actually earning. From an operational point-of-view, the airline is in a situation where it is faced with reduced load factors. If the airline was able, it would reduce the flights it offers in order to increase load factors. When the airplanes are purchased, such reductions would leave planes idle, but being paid...
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