To prevent Iran from regenerating its maritime exclusion defenses, U.S. air forces would need to continue attacks against known mine storage and distribution sites, and destroy or suppress small craft, helicopters, submarines, and enemy "commercial" vessels capable of dispensing mines.
Phase V -- Enable Civil Authority
Completing mine clearing operations would likely be a key task for Littoral Combat Ships equipped with MCM modules, UUVs [Unmanned underwater vehicles], rotary wing aircraft, and supporting sensors.
To prevent Iran from regenerating its maritime exclusion defenses, U.S. air forces would need to continue attacks against known mine storage and distribution sites, and destroy or suppress small craft, helicopters, submarines, and enemy "commercial" vessels capable of dispensing mines.
COA 2
This course of analysis this seeks to provide a foundation for clear thinking about the potential use of force against Iran in protecting Azerbaijan.
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
23
ASSUMPTIONS
Assumptions operated in COA process:
The behavior of the Iranian regime postures as grave a set of challenges to the global community as any problem being faced currently. Iran's nuclear determinations against Azerbaijan; its support for terrorism;
The width of the infantry battalion subdivision be contingent on and its efforts to undermine hopes for stability in Iran, including lethal backing for groups attacking Azerbaijan troops, are all deeply troubling the nation
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
24
Operational CoGs
Friendly Forces
Friendly Intel action
Threat reaction to friendly actions
Friendly counteraction to threat reaction
Critical Capabilities
Force Projection-Deploy, Sustain, Lethality, Maneuver
Mission Command.
To occupy a support-by-fire position to support an attack
Critical Requirements
Access to APOD/SPOD
LOCs
Host Nation Support
CAISR
Mobility
Missile Defense
Air Superiority
Critical Vulnerabilities
LOCs
C4ISR
Air Platforms
To attack enemy-held positions from an unexpected direction
Enhance international legitimacy
Gain multinational cooperation
Develop allied and friendly military capabilities for self-defense and coalition operations
Operational Center of Gravity-Friendly
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
25
Operational CoG
Preserve sureness in ultimate victory or success
Resources/Means to receive Intelligence
Alliance forces
Small naval fleet from allies
Critical Capabilities
State security forces
Unconventional forces,
Terrorists
Sea power
Airpower
Operate with allies
Critical Requirements
Good weather chemical gear fuel and ammo re-supply precise intelligence
Critical Vulnerabilities
IF Allies break ENIGMA code system
IF new merchant ships have faster speeds
IF Allies develop more effective radar capabilities
Strategic Center of Gravity Analysis-Enemy
Depicted the CoG analysis generated during mission analysis and update throughout COA development.
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
26
Operational CoG
Clan support or sharing of power
Ambushes and raids.
Insurgents
Underground militia
Critical Capabilities
Acts of terror against population, infrastructure and security services
Demonstrations and propaganda events and printed media
Guerilla attacks against conventional forces in rural areas
Critical Requirements
Command and Control Structure
Finances
Liaisons
Leadership
Training
IO
fight more effectively at night move faster operationally to intercept reported convoy
Critical Vulnerabilities
Liaisons-SAPA representation to clan
IF they employ counter FW 200 operations
IF they change code settings frequently or adopt an unbreakable code system
IF new merchant ships have faster speeds
IF they come up with more effective radar
Capabilities
Electronic and technological advances may out pace Iranian developments.
Operational Center of Gravity Analysis-Enemy
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
27
Operational CoG
Maintain confidence in ultimate victory or success
Resources/Means to receive Intelligence
Coalition forces
Critical Capabilities
Worldwide Linkages
State harboring radical Islamic fundamentalism
Rise of networks means that power is migrating to non-state actors
Critical Requirements
Intelligence regarding production facilities in Iran
Effective and sustained bombing of production facilities
Critical Vulnerabilities
Communication Links
Globalization
Increased autonomy of network
Financial Basis
Strategic Center of Gravity Analysis-Enemy
Depicted the CoG analysis generated during mission analysis and update throughout COA development.
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
28
CoG
Ideology
freedom of movement, insurgent safe havens clandestine agents the civilian population,
Critical Capabilities
Fundamentalist Sheik
Belief in Cause
Shared Intelligence
Premeditated, politically motivated violence
Critical Requirements
Resources/Means to receive Intelligence
Time
Critical Vulnerabilities
Lack of credible HUMINT
Technological competence
Maintaining Focus
INSURGENTS
Depicted the CoG analysis generated during mission analysis and update throughout COA development.
JTF-50 COA Presentation Format
DJMO C340 EXERCISE MATERIAL
Reading C340.3
29
JOA
Continuous operations including normal and routine military activity "performed to dissuade or deter potential adversaries and to assure or solidify relationships with friends and allies."
Goals include shaping perceptions, developing capacity for coalition operations, improving information and intelligence exchange, and providing peacetime and contingency access.
Also important that shaping activities could be "executed in one theater in order to create effects and/or achieve objectives in another."
Logical Lines of Operations
International borders reestablished in the region.
Red military defeated.
Red offensive capability neutralized.
Red regime removed and replaced with government favorable to coalition interests.
Occupation and stabilization duties transitioned to non-U.S. force within 12 months.
Gain air & maritime superiority.
Support DOS and OGA.
Conduct stability operations.
Support Yellow leadership.
Mass combat power and sustainment.
Strategic end state
Retrograde coalition forces.
Attack strategic-level targets.
Security/Information Military
Governance
Economic
Diplomacy
Security
Information
Maintain sovereign state.
Secure Yellow borders.
Control population centers.
Isolate leadership
Establish legitimate coalition.
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