Outcome of the 2016 Elections and the Evolution of the Campaign
The 2016 elections were a surprise to many—mainly because the establishment candidate, Hillary Clinton, lost to the upstart celebrity billionaire Donald Trump, who had never served a day of public office in his life. However, Trump had managed to do something that Clinton did not: he appealed to a marginalized people—the working class, angry, fed up with the Establishment types—the “forgotten men and women” (Sabato, 2017, p. 109) who had protested Wall Street, promoted the Tea Party, and who now wanted to see D.C. crash and burn; and in Trump they saw a candidate with the flair and desire to “drain the swamp” as he pledged to do (Schaffner & Clark, 2018). Trump made a habit of making bold claims and predictions—such as the idea that he would build a wall between Mexico and the U.S. and get Mexico to pay for it (Ginsberg, Lowi, Tolbert & Weir, 2016). Clinton on the other hand appeared confident from the beginning that she would be the Democratic nominee—even though the Democratic outsider Bernie Sanders had a Trump-like following of his own, mainly because he was seen as the anti-Establishment candidate of the left. When Clinton managed to take the nomination (thanks in no small part to her control of the DNC), the election became one in which the Establishment party was going to go toe-to-toe with a loud-mouthed anti-Establishment candidate with a strong following of diverse voters.
Sabato (2017) notes that the 2016 election was similar to the 1948 election in which Truman...
References
Ginsberg, B., Lowi, T., Tolbert, C. & Weir, M. (2016). We the people, 11th Edition. New York, NY: W.W. Norton.
Sabato, L. (2017). Trumped: The 2016 election that broke all the rules. London, UK: Rowman & Littlefield.
Schaffner, B. & Clark, J. (2018). Making sense of the 2016 elections: A CQ Press guide. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE.
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